Analytics
Yes is at 11.5%, down 39 points from 50% when the market opened on 1 Dec 2025.
Across the 298 daily closes on record from 1 Dec 2025 to 29 Oct 2026 (35 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 86.9% on 17 Jan 2026 and the lowest 6.2% on 21 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 15.3%; a month before, 23.8%. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 53.5% on 18 Jan 2026.
$10 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $138.16K since listing. The order book holds $418.67, with a 17.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $816.79 bought Yes and $16.27K bought No; the largest was a $1.47K sell of No at 92.4¢.
The largest Yes position is RobinPerez1185 with 380 shares; the largest No position is ineedmassage with 2.9K. Ten wallets hold 83.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 298 points, 1 Dec 2025 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 11.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ineedmassage | No | 2.88K |
| RobinPerez1185 | Yes | 380 |
| AmySmith6338 | Yes | 372 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any S&P 500 company announces between November 4, 12:00 PM ET, and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a qualifying company announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source will be official announcements from qualifying companies; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-sp-500-company-buys-bitcoin-by-november-30
| BreannaMcgee4306 |
| Yes |
| 314 |
| warptrading | Yes | 306.11 |
| universidadonline | Yes | 262 |
| p3eFbv0H3b | Yes | 224.13 |
| 95l | Yes | 137 |
| obalea | Yes | 135.44 |
| Bright Atlas 32AA | Yes | 123.65 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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