Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.08 | $0.830 | $1.95 | +$0.22 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.960 | $1.39 | 9h ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.75 |
| $0.890 |
| $1.64 |
| +$0.08 |
 Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31? | Yes | 2.1 | $0.880 | $1.59 | -$0.26 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? | Yes | 1.45 | $0.960 | $1.43 | +$0.04 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 1.09 | $0.962 | $1.08 | +$0.03 |
| buy |
| 1.88 |
| $0.980 |
| $1.84 |
| 16d ago |
 Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.01 | $0.470 | $0.94 | 16d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.71 | $0.960 | $1.64 | 27d ago |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.890 | $1.56 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.780 | $1.57 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Livesport Prague Open (Doubles): Falkowska/Smith vs Chan/KatoChan/Kato | buy | 2.15 | $0.880 | $1.89 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.29 | $0.780 | $1.79 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No | buy | 1.94 | $0.870 | $1.69 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.9 | $0.939 | $1.78 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.1 | $0.880 | $1.85 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $7.5B?Yes | buy | 2.37 | $0.750 | $1.78 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Meta (META) Up or Down on June 9?Up | buy | 2.15 | $0.780 | $1.68 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.900 | $1.49 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes | buy | 2.3 | $0.800 | $1.84 | May 26, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.880 | $1.82 | May 19, 2026 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?No | buy | 2.1 | $0.890 | $1.87 | May 12, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.850 | $1.73 | May 5, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.850 | $1.75 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Yes | sell | 3.81 | $0.020 | $0.08 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?No | buy | 1.87 | $0.900 | $1.68 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 1.93 | $0.820 | $1.58 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.860 | $1.83 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.870 | $1.79 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 1.54 | $0.700 | $1.08 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.1K | $0.994 | $3.08K | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.1K | $0.995 | $3.08K | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.987 | $1.1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.962 | $1.05 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.710 | $1.1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?Yes | buy | 1.91 | $0.910 | $1.74 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.830 | $1.72 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.898 | $1.93 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Yes | buy | 2.05 | $0.894 | $1.83 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.77 | $0.899 | $1.59 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?No | sell | 1.89 | $0.870 | $1.64 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No | sell | 3.44 | $0.820 | $2.82 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.85 | $0.404 | $0.75 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.4 | $0.860 | $3.78 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.12 | $0.930 | $1.97 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.75 | $0.840 | $2.31 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?No | buy | 1.84 | $0.850 | $1.56 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?No | buy | 1.9 | $0.870 | $1.65 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down on January 14?Up | buy | 1.87 | $0.920 | $1.72 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.880 | $1.46 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.950 | $1.76 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No | buy | 3.44 | $0.750 | $2.58 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.810 | $1.68 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | buy | 3.86 | $0.720 | $2.78 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.97 | $0.790 | $2.35 | Dec 2, 2025 |