Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 603.18 | $0.905 | $580.56 | +$34.72 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.992 | $198.4 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 465.33 |
| $0.826 |
| $432.06 |
| +$47.81 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | Yes | 80 | $0.310 | $57.6 | +$32.8 |
 Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | No | 60 | $0.944 | $56.46 | -$0.2 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | Yes | 62.22 | $0.417 | $53.2 | +$27.27 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | Yes | 59.67 | $0.366 | $50.12 | +$28.25 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? | Yes | 40 | $0.440 | $37.8 | +$20.2 |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 22.61 | $0.231 | $11.19 | +$5.97 |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 37.11 | $0.115 | $10.76 | +$6.51 |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 61.25 | $0.300 | $9.19 | -$9.2 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | Yes | 29.6 | $0.292 | $4.88 | -$3.76 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.820 | $4.81 | +$0.71 |
 Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 91.61 | $0.281 | $3.48 | -$22.25 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 41.62 | $0.394 | $3.12 | -$13.29 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.350 | $2.95 | -$0.55 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.170 | $2.25 | -$2.85 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 81.48 | $0.057 | $2.24 | -$2.42 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 25 | $0.450 | $1.88 | -$9.38 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.160 | $1.8 | -$7.8 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | Yes | 22.31 | $0.230 | $1.67 | -$3.46 |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 46.39 | $0.040 | $1.55 | -$0.31 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | OpenAI | 16.64 | $0.399 | $1 | -$5.64 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 22.81 | $0.136 | $0.54 | -$2.57 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 20 | $0.055 | $0.15 | -$0.95 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 2.93 | $0.109 | $0.09 | -$0.23 |
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.900 |
| $9 |
| Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Phạm Thị Thanh Trà be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?No | sell | 30 | $0.998 | $29.94 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?No | sell | 19.42 | $0.818 | $15.89 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MarchSomething | sell | 18.91 | $0.540 | $10.21 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.120 | $1.92 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 6.58 | $0.490 | $3.22 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MarchNothing | sell | 53.84 | $0.430 | $23.15 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of March?No | sell | 90.44 | $0.998 | $90.26 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 18.02 | $0.360 | $6.49 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?No | sell | 12.59 | $0.620 | $7.81 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?No | sell | 25.85 | $0.988 | $25.54 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | sell | 6.16 | $0.839 | $5.17 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 8.6 | $0.170 | $1.46 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?No | sell | 24.93 | $0.969 | $24.16 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.987 | $29.61 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 30 | $0.985 | $29.55 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?No | sell | 19.09 | $0.989 | $18.88 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.987 | $29.61 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 30 | $0.983 | $29.49 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-03-14?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.530 | $15.9 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-03-14?Yes | sell | 3.5 | $0.530 | $1.86 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?No | sell | 26.3 | $0.610 | $16.04 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 30 | $0.985 | $29.55 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of March?No | sell | 6.46 | $0.995 | $6.43 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 30.01 | $0.988 | $29.65 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?Yes | sell | 31.39 | $0.036 | $1.13 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?Yes | sell | 18.61 | $0.038 | $0.71 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Columbus Crew vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.230 | $0.23 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of March?No | sell | 6.72 | $0.910 | $6.12 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of March?No | sell | 34.28 | $0.983 | $33.7 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?No | sell | 33.01 | $0.750 | $24.76 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 6 | $0.500 | $3 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-03-14?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 58.02 | $0.450 | $26.11 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Nashville SC win on 2026-03-14?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.290 | $8.7 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Columbus Crew vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?Yes | sell | 6.06 | $0.230 | $1.39 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 153.59 | $0.906 | $139.15 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $125 by end of March?No | sell | 13.9 | $0.982 | $13.65 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of March?No | sell | 50 | $0.987 | $49.35 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No | sell | 34.84 | $0.977 | $34.04 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No | sell | 18.21 | $0.991 | $18.05 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?Yes | sell | 21.68 | $0.380 | $8.24 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.991 | $198.2 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MarchSomething | sell | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of March?No | sell | 30 | $0.890 | $26.7 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,600 by end of March?No | sell | 30.62 | $0.941 | $28.82 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?No | sell | 30 | $0.984 | $29.52 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 45.55 | $0.900 | $41 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.990 | $198 | Mar 13, 2026 |