Analytics
Somber-Ice has made $29.27K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-17 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | No | 14.1K | $0.244 | $11.86K | +$8.42K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-17 08:40 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-24 19:23 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 19:23 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-17 08:40 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $106.78K and losing ones cost $47.99K across the latest 50 settled positions. 54% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $31.11K on “US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $8.09K on “Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?” (No).
It has traded 392 markets. Its open positions are worth $45.81K across 55 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 10K |
| $0.515 |
| $7.19K |
| +$2.04K |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 9K | $0.427 | $6.03K | +$2.18K |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 16.08K | $0.214 | $4.58K | +$1.14K |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 19.26K | $0.109 | $3.77K | +$1.67K |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? | Yes | 3.11K | $0.265 | $1.99K | +$1.16K |
 Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | OpenAI | 14.65K | $0.102 | $1.03K | -$472 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7K | $0.364 | $1.01K | -$1.53K |
 Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026? | No | 2.3K | $0.271 | $679.72 | +$55.51 |
 Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or below $15 in 2026? | No | 854 | $0.435 | $589.26 | +$217.84 |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | Yes | 3.55K | $0.455 | $585.11 | -$1.03K |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | No | 8.5K | $0.086 | $552.29 | -$174.67 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? | No | 509.29 | $0.308 | $412.52 | +$255.55 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | No | 697.58 | $0.547 | $408.08 | +$26.18 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 500 | $0.570 | $372.5 | +$87.5 |
 Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | Yes | 451 | $0.730 | $369.82 | +$40.59 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? | No | 870.13 | $0.234 | $350.23 | +$146.41 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | No | 397.46 | $0.277 | $297.1 | +$186.82 |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | Yes | 1.73K | $0.193 | $285.47 | -$48.89 |
 Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 460.38 | $0.473 | $269.32 | +$51.36 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? | No | 355.81 | $0.203 | $265.61 | +$193.49 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | Yes | 1.34K | $0.495 | $241.35 | -$422.61 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | Yes | 629.37 | $0.550 | $239.16 | -$107.32 |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? | Yes | 872.32 | $0.439 | $226.8 | -$155.93 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? | No | 3.8K | $0.237 | $220.16 | -$679.78 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
