Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the AP call the election on November 6?Yes | sell | 7.29 | $0.999 | $7.28 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 |
| sell |
| 11.36 |
| $0.996 |
| $11.31 |
| Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.993 | $8.27 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 7.57 | $0.996 | $7.54 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Trump Sun Belt swing state sweep?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.960 | $17.14 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Who will win white women?Trump | sell | 13.88 | $0.952 | $13.21 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 13.51 | $0.998 | $13.48 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 6.84 | $0.951 | $6.5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 9.0-10.0%?Yes | buy | 53.56 | $0.090 | $4.82 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 8.0-9.0%?Yes | buy | 60.13 | $0.080 | $4.81 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.540 | $9.82 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 17.36 | $0.568 | $9.86 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | sell | 13.15 | $0.750 | $9.86 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.565 | $2.63 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 8.62 | $0.570 | $4.91 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.220 | $5 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Trump wins the election but loses WI, MI, or PA?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.360 | $15 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $2,600 on November 1?Yes | sell | 16.12 | $0.650 | $10.48 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Trump wins the election but loses WI, MI, or PA?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Trump Sun Belt swing state sweep?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 26.46 | $0.189 | $5 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.910 | $12.99 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 34.07 | $0.591 | $20.14 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $68,000 on November 1?Yes | sell | 15.87 | $0.920 | $14.6 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $68,000 on November 1?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Ethereum above $2,600 on November 1?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Oct 28, 2024 |
 Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?Yes | buy | 48.54 | $0.103 | $5 | Oct 27, 2024 |
 Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.019 | $5 | Oct 26, 2024 |
| Will the AP call the election on November 6?Yes | buy | 7.3 | $0.370 | $2.7 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Will the AP call the election on November 8?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Will the AP call the election on November 7?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "tax" 30 or more times during New York rally on October 27?No | sell | 19.6 | $0.410 | $8.04 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "border" 30 or more times during New York rally on October 27?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "tax" 30 or more times during Las Vegas rally on October 24?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Who will win white women?Trump | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Who will win white women?Harris | sell | 33.33 | $0.280 | $9.33 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?No | buy | 26.6 | $0.376 | $10 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Who will win white women?Harris | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?No | sell | 90.31 | $0.840 | $75.86 | Oct 23, 2024 |