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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 476.19 | $0.840 | $407.14 | +$7.14 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 101.63 | $0.984 | $100 | 1d ago |
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| No |
| 333.33 |
| $0.900 |
| $303.33 |
| +$3.33 |
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? | No | 101.63 | $0.984 | $100 | $0 |
| buy |
| 476.19 |
| $0.840 |
| $400 |
| 1d ago |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.900 | $300 | 3d ago |
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?No | sell | 266.79 | $0.971 | $259.05 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?No | buy | 1.62K | $0.308 | $500 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?No | buy | 526.32 | $0.950 | $500 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | sell | 449.43 | $0.951 | $427.55 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No | sell | 381.18 | $0.870 | $331.63 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?No | sell | 2.13K | $0.300 | $640.23 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?No | buy | 579.68 | $0.345 | $200 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?No | buy | 1.55K | $0.322 | $500 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will Ukraine recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by October 31?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Oct 2, 2025 |
Will Ukraine recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by October 31?Yes | buy | 132.14 | $0.280 | $37 | Oct 2, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.500 | $500 | Oct 1, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?No | sell | 1.04K | $0.997 | $1.03K | Oct 1, 2025 |
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?No | buy | 291.05 | $0.687 | $200 | Sep 20, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 230 | $0.950 | $218.5 | Sep 20, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?No | buy | 418.75 | $0.800 | $335 | Sep 20, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 15?No | buy | 173.17 | $0.970 | $168 | Sep 10, 2025 |
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by September 15?No | buy | 161.29 | $0.930 | $150 | Sep 10, 2025 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | buy | 449.44 | $0.890 | $400 | Sep 10, 2025 |
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No | buy | 252.15 | $0.793 | $200 | Sep 10, 2025 |
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No | buy | 129.04 | $0.775 | $100 | Sep 10, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?No | buy | 617.28 | $0.810 | $500 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?No | buy | 500.1 | $0.600 | $300 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?No | buy | 7.88 | $0.380 | $2.99 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?No | buy | 195.1 | $0.730 | $142.42 | May 21, 2025 |
Claude 4 released in May?No | buy | 23.08 | $0.120 | $2.77 | May 21, 2025 |
Another India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?Yes | buy | 103.36 | $0.594 | $61.38 | May 7, 2025 |
ChatGPT #1 app May 9?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.910 | $109.2 | May 3, 2025 |
ChatGPT #1 app May 9?Yes | buy | 110.45 | $0.905 | $100 | May 3, 2025 |
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?Yes | sell | 346.02 | $0.303 | $104.84 | Apr 30, 2025 |
Earthquake 7.0 or above in April?No | sell | 138 | $0.986 | $136.07 | Apr 30, 2025 |
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?Yes | buy | 346.02 | $0.289 | $100 | Apr 30, 2025 |
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?No | sell | 628.11 | $0.678 | $425.68 | Apr 30, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?No | buy | 196.97 | $0.880 | $173.33 | Apr 23, 2025 |
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?No | buy | 628.12 | $0.637 | $400 | Apr 23, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?No | sell | 1.29K | $0.444 | $573.33 | Apr 23, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.510 | $608.28 | Apr 22, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.460 | $46 | Apr 22, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 230 | $0.860 | $197.8 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Earthquake 7.0 or above in April?No | buy | 138 | $0.657 | $90.7 | Apr 19, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmacka in April?No | buy | 326.09 | $0.920 | $300 | Apr 19, 2025 |