Latest trade
Jan 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 2:15 PM UTC.
Analytics
Lunar Horizon 86A3 is down $6.74 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 41 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-03-04 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jan 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 2:15 PM UTC.
$6.54 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 30 markets; 54.0% were buys. They run from May 17, 2025 UTC to Jan 17, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 8.15 | $0.988 | $8.05 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-03-04 20:13 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 14:15 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 14:15 UTC
polymarket positions
42 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-03-04 20:13 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $5.87 and losing ones cost $12.61 across 41 settled positions. 82.9% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $0.83 on “Will Jerome Powell say "Tariff" during the March meeting?” (Yes); the largest loss, $6.77 on “China-Vietnam trade deal before June?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 17 Jan 2026. It has traded 41 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 9.27 |
| $0.989 |
| $9.17 |
| Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 8.15 | $0.973 | $7.93 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.28 | $0.983 | $9.12 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.5 | $0.962 | $5.29 | Jan 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.14 | $0.837 | $5.14 | Jan 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Ravens win the AFC Championship?No | sell | 10.24 | $0.902 | $9.24 | Jan 3, 2026 UTC |
 Israel strikes Iran before 2026?No | buy | 5.79 | $0.981 | $5.68 | Dec 26, 2025 UTC |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.984 | $8.79 | Dec 26, 2025 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.51 | $0.930 | $5.12 | Dec 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 8.58 | $0.975 | $8.37 | Dec 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.15 | $0.940 | $5.78 | Dec 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by December 31?No | buy | 7.74 | $0.985 | $7.62 | Dec 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Indianapolis Colts make the playoffs?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.988 | $6.5 | Dec 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Ravens win the AFC Championship?No | buy | 10.24 | $0.992 | $10.16 | Dec 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No | buy | 7.55 | $0.988 | $7.46 | Dec 25, 2025 UTC |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | buy | 8.27 | $0.944 | $7.81 | Dec 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will FvD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | sell | 14.72 | $0.941 | $13.85 | Dec 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will FvD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | buy | 14.72 | $0.992 | $14.6 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
 James Comey arrested by October 31?No | sell | 5.82 | $0.985 | $5.73 | Oct 21, 2025 UTC |
 Will xAI have the second best AI model on October 31?No | sell | 9 | $0.985 | $8.87 | Oct 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will xAI have the second best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 9.01 | $0.977 | $8.8 | Oct 14, 2025 UTC |
| James Comey arrested by October 31?No | buy | 5.82 | $0.970 | $5.65 | Oct 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump send the national guard to New York City?No | sell | 6.77 | $0.985 | $6.67 | Sep 17, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump send the national guard to New York City?No | buy | 6.78 | $0.971 | $6.58 | Sep 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in July?No | buy | 7.07 | $0.953 | $6.74 | Aug 10, 2025 UTC |
 North Korea missile test by August 15?No | buy | 7.3 | $0.969 | $7.07 | Aug 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Italy win the UEFA Women's Euro?No | sell | 8.37 | $0.985 | $8.24 | Jul 22, 2025 UTC |
 Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?No | sell | 5.7 | $0.975 | $5.56 | Jul 12, 2025 UTC |
| Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?No | buy | 5.7 | $0.963 | $5.49 | Jul 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Italy win the UEFA Women's Euro?No | buy | 8.37 | $0.971 | $8.13 | Jul 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 5.5 | $0.951 | $5.23 | Jul 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?Yes | sell | 5.43 | $0.978 | $5.31 | Jul 5, 2025 UTC |
 Social security checks delayed/not sent before July?No | sell | 5.53 | $0.558 | $3.09 | Jun 29, 2025 UTC |
| Social security checks delayed/not sent before July?No | buy | 5.53 | $0.971 | $5.37 | Jun 27, 2025 UTC |
 Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?No | sell | 5.39 | $0.995 | $5.36 | Jun 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.948 | $5.15 | Jun 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?No | buy | 5.4 | $0.954 | $5.15 | Jun 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win 55-60% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | sell | 0.76 | $0.980 | $0.74 | Jun 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 55-60% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | sell | 4.95 | $0.980 | $4.85 | Jun 2, 2025 UTC |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 17-20%?No | sell | 5.81 | $0.810 | $4.71 | May 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 55-60% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.940 | $5.37 | May 28, 2025 UTC |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 17-20%?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.960 | $5.58 | May 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?No | sell | 10.17 | $0.985 | $10.02 | May 26, 2025 UTC |
 China-Vietnam trade deal before June?No | sell | 7.91 | $0.118 | $0.93 | May 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?No | buy | 10.18 | $0.959 | $9.76 | May 21, 2025 UTC |
| China-Vietnam trade deal before June?No | buy | 7.91 | $0.973 | $7.7 | May 21, 2025 UTC |
 Will San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No | sell | 9.47 | $0.985 | $9.33 | May 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?Yes | sell | 2.52 | $0.999 | $2.52 | May 17, 2025 UTC |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?Yes | sell | 5.62 | $0.999 | $5.61 | May 17, 2025 UTC |