Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 74.1%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 17 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 17 Apr 2025 to 22 May 2025, the highest close was 74.1% on 22 May 2025 and the lowest 3% on 21 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 71 points up, to 74.1% on 22 May 2025. $105.87K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 23, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 17 Apr 2025 – 22 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Apr 2025 | 15.5% |
| 22 May 2025 | 74.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ChampaLiberation | No | 313 |
| Coral Vector 430D | No | 7.04 |
| 8ba833 | Yes | 6.67 |
| SuARas | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the People's Republic of China and Vietnam between April 16, and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the People's Republic of China and Vietnam as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution. Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the People's Republic of China and/or Vietnam, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/china-vietnam-trade-deal-before-june-982
| twark | Yes | 0.01 |
| NiGriMa671 | Yes | 0 |
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