Latest trade
Jan 24, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 7:38 AM UTC.
NotDaniel is down $159.42 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 24 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-02-05 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jan 24, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 7:38 AM UTC.
$4.41 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 18 markets; 88.0% were buys. They run from Dec 3, 2024 UTC to Jan 24, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.130 | $26 | Jan 24, 2025 UTC |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-02-05 01:35 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 07:38 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 07:38 UTC
polymarket positions
26 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-02-05 01:35 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $124.32 and losing ones cost $198.74 across 24 settled positions. 29.2% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $61.71 on “Will Game 7 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?” (Yes); the largest loss, $39.5 on “Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 24 Jan 2025. It has traded 26 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.120 |
| $24 |
| Jan 23, 2025 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.180 | $36 | Jan 6, 2025 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.320 | $40 | Dec 31, 2024 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?Yes | sell | 499.99 | $0.032 | $16 | Dec 20, 2024 UTC |
Will 'Sonic 3' gross less than $56m on 3-day opening weekend?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.060 | $0.36 | Dec 12, 2024 UTC |
Fact check: Did Luigi Mangione use 3D printed gun?No | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Dec 10, 2024 UTC |
Will Game 12 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.100 | $1.1 | Dec 9, 2024 UTC |
Will Game 12 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.100 | $1.4 | Dec 9, 2024 UTC |
Will Ding Liren win Game 12 of the World Chess Championship?No | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Dec 9, 2024 UTC |
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 12 of the World Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Dec 9, 2024 UTC |
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 12 of the World Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | Dec 9, 2024 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.100 | $12.5 | Dec 9, 2024 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?Yes | buy | 144.8 | $0.110 | $15.93 | Dec 9, 2024 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?Yes | buy | 55.2 | $0.110 | $6.07 | Dec 9, 2024 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?Yes | buy | 175 | $0.120 | $21 | Dec 8, 2024 UTC |
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 12 of the World Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 16.85 | $0.110 | $1.85 | Dec 7, 2024 UTC |
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 11 of the World Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 3.67 | $0.180 | $0.66 | Dec 7, 2024 UTC |
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 12 of the World Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 3.44 | $0.110 | $0.38 | Dec 7, 2024 UTC |
Will Ding Liren win Game 11 of the World Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 13.32 | $0.120 | $1.6 | Dec 7, 2024 UTC |
Will Ding Liren win Game 11 of the World Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.120 | $0.13 | Dec 7, 2024 UTC |
Will Ding Liren win Game 11 of the World Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.120 | $1.92 | Dec 7, 2024 UTC |
Will Ding Liren win Game 11 of the World Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 19.57 | $0.120 | $2.35 | Dec 7, 2024 UTC |
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during NBC interview?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.290 | $11.6 | Dec 7, 2024 UTC |
NATO article 5 before March?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.090 | $3.38 | Dec 6, 2024 UTC |
NATO article 5 before March?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.090 | $5.13 | Dec 6, 2024 UTC |
NATO article 5 before March?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.090 | $0.49 | Dec 6, 2024 UTC |
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during NBC interview?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.150 | $6 | Dec 6, 2024 UTC |
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 10 of the World Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 19.41 | $0.140 | $2.72 | Dec 5, 2024 UTC |
Will Ding Liren win Game 10 of the World Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 24.84 | $0.180 | $4.47 | Dec 5, 2024 UTC |
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 10 of the World Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 30.59 | $0.140 | $4.28 | Dec 5, 2024 UTC |
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 10 of the World Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 69.41 | $0.140 | $9.72 | Dec 5, 2024 UTC |
Will Ding Liren win Game 10 of the World Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 25.16 | $0.180 | $4.53 | Dec 5, 2024 UTC |
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 10 of the World Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 25.58 | $0.140 | $3.58 | Dec 5, 2024 UTC |
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 10 of the World Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.140 | $0.7 | Dec 5, 2024 UTC |
Will Ding Liren win Game 10 of the World Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.190 | $0.95 | Dec 5, 2024 UTC |
Will Ding Liren win Game 10 of the World Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.190 | $13.3 | Dec 5, 2024 UTC |
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 9 of the World Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 5, 2024 UTC |
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 9 of the World Chess Championship?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | Dec 5, 2024 UTC |
Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?Yes | sell | 194.38 | $0.210 | $40.82 | Dec 4, 2024 UTC |
Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?Yes | sell | 161.24 | $0.210 | $33.86 | Dec 4, 2024 UTC |
Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 155.63 | $0.210 | $32.68 | Dec 4, 2024 UTC |
Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 28.96 | $0.150 | $4.34 | Dec 3, 2024 UTC |
Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.150 | $0.16 | Dec 3, 2024 UTC |
Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.150 | $10.5 | Dec 3, 2024 UTC |
Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.150 | $7.5 | Dec 3, 2024 UTC |
Will Beyonce be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century?No | buy | 60.6 | $0.005 | $0.3 | Dec 3, 2024 UTC |
Will Beyonce be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.005 | $0.01 | Dec 3, 2024 UTC |
Will Beyonce be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.005 | $0.01 | Dec 3, 2024 UTC |
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 9 of the World Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | Dec 3, 2024 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.