Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 8 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 67.5%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 6 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 32.5% on 8 Dec 2024 and the low 10.5% on 6 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 27% on 7 Dec 2024. $239.79K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 9, 8:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 6 Dec 2024 – 8 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2024 | 10.5% |
| 8 Dec 2024 | 32.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CryptoKing25 | Yes | 2.04K |
| Nifty-Lesson | Yes | 1.74K |
| ezdogz | Yes | 1.22K |
| SHOWN1998 | Yes | 1.09K |
| Imaginary-Streetcar | Yes | 326.49 |
| lvcat | Yes | 238.57 |
| NilAdmirari | Yes | 75.4 |
| Robb1 | Yes | 72 |
| Majorgainz | Yes | 72 |
| TippOff | Yes | 62.5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market group over what Donald Trump will say during his interview hosted by NBC News, scheduled to be aired on December 8 (see https://www.axios.com/2024/12/04/trump-interview-nbc-news-meet-the-press).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-nbc-interview
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