Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.2%. Yes opened at 22% on 9 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 9 Nov 2024 to 3 Dec 2024, the highest close was 99.3% on 28 Nov 2024 and the lowest 7.6% on 17 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 74 points up, to 98.8% on 27 Nov 2024. $288.89K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 4, 8:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 9 Nov 2024 – 3 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2024 | 22.0% |
| 3 Dec 2024 | 99.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 112.75K |
| Rajna | No | 313.71 |
| Incomplete-Prestige | No | 296.66 |
| Coral Harbor 3109 | No | 286 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a negrisk market group over who will be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-billboard-1-pop-star-of-the-century
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Langelot1er | No | 224.72 |
| Bold Summit CEAE | No | 98 |
| Elvisionario | No | 63.29 |
| BlackPoser | No | 56.11 |
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | No | 50 |
| Kristinaelle | Yes | 12.82 |
