Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 22.73 | $0.440 | $19.43 | +$9.43 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | 1d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 40 |
| $0.250 |
| $19.4 |
| +$9.4 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 15.38 | $0.650 | $9.54 | -$0.46 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 20 | $0.500 | $9.1 | -$0.9 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 6.08 | $0.800 | $5.68 | +$0.82 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 6.09 | $0.230 | $0.3 | -$1.1 |
| buy |
| 26.32 |
| $0.380 |
| $10 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | 7d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | 7d ago |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | 18d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 1.87 | $0.770 | $1.44 | 18d ago |
 Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | 19d ago |
 Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | 19d ago |
 Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?No | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | 20d ago |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 20?Down | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | 20d ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 19?Up | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | 26d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | 27d ago |
 Will Trump say "Hottest" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | 27d ago |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.210 | $1.33 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?Yes | buy | 36.23 | $0.276 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.780 | $4.74 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 19.3 | $0.502 | $9.69 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.600 | $1.83 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.500 | $2.55 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Military" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.582 | $4.72 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.390 | $1.17 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 9.94 | $0.510 | $5.07 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 9.18 | $0.500 | $4.59 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 19.38 | $0.500 | $9.69 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?No | buy | 3 | $0.420 | $1.26 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 15.25 | $0.360 | $5.49 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.330 | $4.62 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?No | buy | 6.77 | $0.744 | $5.04 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 6.09 | $0.230 | $1.4 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5%-9.5%?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.410 | $6.56 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of July 20 2026?No | buy | 15.5 | $0.380 | $5.89 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of July 20 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.330 | $2.31 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.780 | $4.74 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 19, 2026 |