Analytics
TheDao is down $1.7K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 47 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 97.41K | $0.018 | $2.68K | +$954.52 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-20 21:15 UTC
Polymarket public position response
19 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 05:39 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 05:39 UTC
polymarket positions
48 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-20 21:15 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $6.47K and losing ones cost $3.18K across 47 settled positions. 57.4% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $3.05K on “Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $817 on “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?” (Yes).
It has traded 96 markets. Its open positions are worth $4.4K across 19 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 41.53K |
| $0.006 |
| $789.05 |
| +$550.26 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | No | 519 | $0.520 | $282.86 | +$12.98 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | No | 647.46 | $0.428 | $249.27 | -$27.66 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 1.11K | $0.234 | $193.38 | -$64.86 |
 Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3K | $0.023 | $60 | -$9 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.050 | $55 | +$5 |
 Cornell President out by October 31? | Yes | 722.33 | $0.040 | $24.92 | -$3.97 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 145.98 | $0.280 | $19.71 | -$21.17 |
 Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 220 | $0.130 | $19.03 | -$9.57 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 285.64 | $0.018 | $5.86 | +$0.71 |
| Will Wes Moore be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | Yes | 77.39 | $0.038 | $5.3 | +$2.36 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 10,800,000 and 11,200,000? | Yes | 23.87 | $0.010 | $4.25 | +$4.01 |
 Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October? | Yes | 150 | $0.435 | $4.13 | -$61.07 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.090 | $3.25 | -$1.25 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 10 | $0.190 | $2.1 | +$0.2 |
 Will Democrats win the Iowa and Kansas Senate seats, and Republicans win Nebraska? | Yes | 4 | $0.110 | $0.98 | +$0.54 |
 Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? | Yes | 4.99 | $0.050 | $0.22 | -$0.03 |
 Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.290 | $0.15 | -$1.3 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
