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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 160.55K | $0.018 | $3.93K | +$1.09K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?Yes | buy | 133.69 | $0.180 | $24.06 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.02K |
| $0.447 |
| $999.47 |
| +$97.25 |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200? | No | 1.08K | $0.390 | $985.46 | +$563.12 |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 122.06K | $0.006 | $793.38 | +$91.53 |
 Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 8.91K | $0.025 | $548.06 | +$320.89 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | Yes | 819.23 | $0.685 | $528.4 | -$32.68 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 434.99 | $0.669 | $245.77 | -$45.22 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026? | Yes | 2.18K | $0.160 | $171.95 | -$176.31 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 200 | $0.520 | $109 | +$5 |
 Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 1.49K | $0.073 | $90.32 | -$19.41 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 1.13K | $0.089 | $85.01 | -$15.67 |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 924.27 | $0.041 | $65.16 | +$26.96 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 167.62 | $0.280 | $42.74 | -$4.19 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.490 | $34.75 | +$10.25 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026? | Yes | 422.28 | $0.119 | $31.67 | -$18.6 |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 150 | $0.365 | $24.53 | -$30.23 |
 Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.011 | $16.5 | +$4.4 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510? | Yes | 133.69 | $0.180 | $14.04 | -$10.03 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 1.21K | $0.032 | $9.69 | -$28.85 |
 Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026? | Yes | 139.71 | $0.050 | $6.29 | -$0.7 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 51.34 | $0.107 | $4.62 | -$0.89 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.090 | $3.25 | -$1.25 |
 Will Wes Moore be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | Yes | 77.39 | $0.038 | $2.59 | -$0.35 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 10 | $0.190 | $1.65 | -$0.25 |
 Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.290 | $0.73 | -$0.73 |
| buy |
| 9.99 |
| $0.630 |
| $6.29 |
| 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 420 | $0.670 | $281.4 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?Yes | sell | 367 | $0.140 | $51.38 | 4d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?No | buy | 1.08K | $0.390 | $422.34 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Yes | sell | 220 | $0.270 | $59.4 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 233 | $0.720 | $167.76 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.710 | $35.5 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.450 | $45 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Yes | buy | 608.77 | $0.440 | $267.86 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Yes | buy | 303 | $0.400 | $121.2 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 414.03 | $0.670 | $277.4 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.660 | $66 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 22.2 | $0.650 | $14.43 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Yes | buy | 503 | $0.260 | $130.78 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.250 | $35 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Yes | buy | 147 | $0.400 | $58.8 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?Yes | buy | 467 | $0.150 | $70.05 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.520 | $104 | 5d ago |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 40.47K | $0.007 | $283.26 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.115 | $5.75 | 5d ago |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.110 | $5.5 | 5d ago |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 85 | $0.110 | $9.35 | 5d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.18K | $0.160 | $348.26 | 5d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.08K | $0.060 | $244.77 | 5d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.13K | $0.070 | $569.34 | 5d ago |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 111 | $0.100 | $11.1 | 5d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.120 | $1.2K | 5d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 252 | $0.110 | $27.72 | 5d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 690 | $0.100 | $69 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | sell | 4.17K | $0.875 | $3.65K | 5d ago |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 411.93 | $0.110 | $45.31 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | buy | 919.91 | $0.120 | $110.39 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | buy | 3.25K | $0.140 | $455.16 | 6d ago |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | 6d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | 6d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.27K | $0.150 | $189.88 | 6d ago |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | 6d ago |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.110 | $109.95 | 6d ago |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 47.67K | $0.005 | $238.33 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 167.62 | $0.280 | $46.93 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.490 | $24.5 | 7d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 132.28 | $0.120 | $15.87 | 7d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.110 | $4.4 | 7d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 600 | $0.170 | $102 | 7d ago |
 Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 790 | $0.005 | $3.95 | 8d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.600 | $210 | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | buy | 130 | $0.590 | $76.7 | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | buy | 357 | $0.580 | $207.06 | 8d ago |