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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.79 | $0.958 | $0.77 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.840 | $23.52 | Jun 14, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.830 |
| $8.3 |
| Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.830 | $39.01 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 74 | $0.063 | $4.66 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.076 | $5.62 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 53.42 | $0.670 | $35.79 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.900 | $38.7 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 43 | $0.984 | $42.31 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | buy | 94 | $0.100 | $9.4 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 123 | $0.030 | $3.69 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 124.29 | $0.031 | $3.85 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 29.22 | $0.952 | $27.82 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 49 | $0.958 | $46.94 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.280 | $11.76 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 54 | $0.801 | $43.25 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.041 | $1.72 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 56 | $0.018 | $1.01 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 37 | $0.993 | $36.74 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.985 | $15.76 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Fergus Finlay win the Irish Presidential Election?No | sell | 1 | $0.991 | $0.99 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Fergus Finlay win the Irish Presidential Election?No | sell | 7 | $0.992 | $6.94 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Fergus Finlay win the Irish Presidential Election?No | buy | 8 | $0.992 | $7.94 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.985 | $4.93 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.011 | $0.43 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 99 | $0.015 | $1.48 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.011 | $0.43 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on August 11 at 5PM ET?No | buy | 13 | $0.995 | $12.94 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2025?No | sell | 15 | $0.967 | $14.5 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in July?No | buy | 45 | $0.979 | $44.06 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $130 in August?No | sell | 49 | $0.971 | $47.58 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2025?No | buy | 15 | $0.967 | $14.5 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will Solana dip to $130 in August?No | buy | 49 | $0.958 | $46.94 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 245–259 times August 8–August 15?No | sell | 11 | $0.970 | $10.67 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 245–259 times August 8–August 15?No | buy | 11 | $0.981 | $10.79 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will Frances Black win the Irish Presidential Election?No | sell | 6 | $0.978 | $5.87 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 55 | $0.937 | $51.54 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 57 | $0.996 | $56.77 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Israel airdrop aid into Gaza?No | sell | 3 | $0.989 | $2.97 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 8 | $0.995 | $7.96 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.972 | $10.69 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 6 | $0.911 | $5.47 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 52 | $0.995 | $51.74 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.972 | $4.86 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.973 | $4.87 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No | sell | 6 | $0.855 | $5.13 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.992 | $4.96 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will Romania's court annul the presidential election?No | buy | 58 | $0.995 | $57.71 | Aug 4, 2025 |