Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 76%. Yes opened at 57% on 30 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2025 to 9 Aug 2025, the highest close was 74% on 31 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.9% on 6 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 43.5% on 1 Aug 2025. $32.81K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 10, 9:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 30 Jul 2025 – 9 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2025 | 57.0% |
| 9 Aug 2025 | 24.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 2K |
| TPInvests | Yes | 1.8K |
| Kimei | Yes | 209.98 |
| Violent-Garlic | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Israel announced on July 25, 2025, that it will now permit foreign countries to parachute humanitarian aid into Gaza. This market will resolve based on which listed countries drop humanitarian aid into the Gaza Strip from the air between July 29 and August 8, 2025 ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from relevant listed countries, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-airdrop-aid-into-gaza
| untz | Yes | 99.99 |
| JaidenAnimations | Yes | 80.77 |
| BeefDerky | Yes | 30.23 |
| chundin | Yes | 29.36 |
| sunkauppa | Yes | 29.11 |
| Regal-Inquiry | Yes | 26.05 |
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