Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump resign before 2027? | Yes | 132.56 | $0.128 | $4.31 | -$12.69 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 15 |
| $0.074 |
| $1.11 |
| Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.005 | $2 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 170.71 | $0.012 | $2 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump resign before 2027?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 28.86 | $0.035 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes | buy | 114.32 | $0.044 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 14.78 | $0.997 | $14.74 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.240 | $2.5 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | sell | 3.33 | $0.680 | $2.26 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 108.57 | $0.014 | $1.52 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Somalia next?No | buy | 400 | $0.005 | $2 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.078 | $3 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump resign before 2027?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 338.43 | $0.025 | $8.32 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.045 | $5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 First to 5k: Gold or ETH?ETH | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22?Down | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?Yes | buy | 31.06 | $0.161 | $5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 19-25?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?No | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.028 | $5 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 20?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will a transgender women athlete compete at the 2026 Winter Games?Yes | buy | 24.72 | $0.202 | $5 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 20-26?No | buy | 504.2 | $0.010 | $5 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 338.43 | $0.015 | $5 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 20-26?No | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump resign before 2027?Yes | buy | 68.67 | $0.146 | $10 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jan 19, 2026 |