
Resolved No on 20 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 14 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 14 Jan 2026 to 20 Jan 2026, the highest close was 6.5% on 14 Jan 2026 and the lowest 1.5% on 17 Jan 2026. $448.7K traded over the market's life.
209 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 14 Jan 2026 – 20 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | 6.5% |
| 20 Jan 2026 | 4.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Silver Quasar 894D | Yes | 40K |
| karn4k | Yes | 27.4K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15.85K |
| Querulous-Flight | Yes | 11.75K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-january-20
| Crimson Horizon C5DF | Yes | 10K |
| Tremendous-Chasuble | Yes | 10K |
| Fixed-Fatherinlaw | Yes | 5K |
| Azure Summit 5A0B | Yes | 5K |
| Micky2505 | Yes | 2.05K |
| WozaCardoza | Yes | 2K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page