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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | No | 180 | $0.849 | $178.74 | +$25.96 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?No | sell | 16 | $0.720 | $11.52 | Apr 27, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 205 |
| $0.700 |
| $156.83 |
| +$13.33 |
 Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 682 | $0.170 | $61.38 | -$54.56 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.710 | $18.9 | +$4.7 |
 Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 0.33 | $0.739 | $0.31 | +$0.06 |
| sell |
| 65 |
| $0.710 |
| $46.15 |
| Apr 27, 2026 |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?No | sell | 125 | $0.690 | $86.25 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?No | sell | 598 | $0.740 | $442.52 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in April?No | buy | 912 | $0.700 | $638.4 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.700 | $706.3 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 660 | $0.650 | $429 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?No | sell | 483 | $0.810 | $391.23 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 669 | $0.590 | $394.71 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?No | sell | 301 | $0.810 | $243.81 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 404 | $0.590 | $238.36 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.73K | $0.600 | $1.04K | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?No | buy | 784 | $0.860 | $674.24 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No | sell | 641 | $0.830 | $532.03 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?No | sell | 775 | $0.130 | $100.75 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | sell | 44 | $0.810 | $35.64 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | sell | 322 | $0.810 | $260.82 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | sell | 277 | $0.830 | $229.91 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?No | buy | 775 | $0.170 | $131.75 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No | buy | 821 | $0.849 | $696.85 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Databricks IPO before 2027?No | sell | 96 | $0.700 | $67.2 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Databricks IPO before 2027?No | sell | 49 | $0.700 | $34.3 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Databricks IPO before 2027?No | buy | 165 | $0.710 | $117.15 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 643 | $0.630 | $405.09 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on March 31?No | sell | 9 | $0.880 | $7.92 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on March 31?No | sell | 403 | $0.900 | $362.8 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on March 31?No | sell | 1.1K | $0.910 | $1K | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on March 31?No | sell | 664 | $0.830 | $551.12 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?No | sell | 727 | $0.333 | $242.09 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on March 31?No | buy | 2.18K | $0.780 | $1.7K | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?No | buy | 727 | $0.498 | $362.05 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?No | sell | 487 | $0.978 | $476.29 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 258 | $0.330 | $85.14 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?No | sell | 490 | $0.750 | $367.5 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?No | sell | 549 | $0.750 | $411.75 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?No | sell | 179 | $0.750 | $134.25 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 281 | $0.330 | $92.73 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 392 | $0.350 | $137.2 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 931 | $0.380 | $353.78 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?No | buy | 1.71K | $0.790 | $1.35K | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 109 | $0.320 | $34.88 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 144 | $0.320 | $46.08 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 144 | $0.320 | $46.08 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 157 | $0.320 | $50.24 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 131 | $0.320 | $41.92 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?No | sell | 353 | $0.630 | $222.39 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?No | sell | 167 | $0.191 | $31.9 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?No | sell | 314 | $0.192 | $60.29 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?No | sell | 419 | $0.220 | $92.18 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Portsmouth FC | buy | 820 | $0.830 | $680.6 | Feb 24, 2026 |