Analytics
Yes is at 22.5%, down 7 points from 29.5% when the market opened on 3 Mar 2026.
Across the 211 daily closes on record from 3 Mar 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (30 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 67% on 30 Aug 2026 and the lowest 12.5% on 20 Mar 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 26%; a month before, 46%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 23.5% on 17 Jun 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “Cambria FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$72.74 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $14.53K since listing. The order book holds $289.81, with a 13.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 202 trades, $1.08K bought Yes and $4.36K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Quiet Beacon 7EAB with 387 shares; the largest No position is briaa1 with 429. Ten wallets hold 79.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 211 points, 3 Mar 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 29.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 22.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| briaa1 | No | 429.04 |
| Quiet Beacon 7EAB | Yes | 387.35 |
| 20260601 | No | 363.99 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cambria-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| MaxEnt |
| Yes |
| 174.05 |
| cornishon1 | Yes | 121.39 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 99.84 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 95.95 |
| almostwin | No | 90 |
| pizdi.bolyu | Yes | 87 |
| merlen | Yes | 84.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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