Analytics
Yes is at 50%, about where the market opened on 31 Dec 2025.
The high was 99.8% on 7 May 2026 and the low 36.9% on 8 Aug 2026. A week ago Yes was at 46.8%; a month ago, 46.6%. Its largest one-day move was 44 points up, to 94.1% on 1 Jan 2026.
$150.51K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $2.17K, with a 20.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $874.83 bought Yes and $9.61K bought No.
The largest Yes position is AngelaPowell8296 with 798 shares; the largest No position is WayneWarren9480 with 1.3K. Ten wallets hold 20.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 81 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 8, 6:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 257 points · 31 Dec 2025 – 8 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| WayneWarren9480 | No | 1.31K |
| kevinbest | No | 944 |
| hascak | No | 936 |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the USDT marketcap is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title on any day by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for USDT, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily "Market Cap" data. The daily market cap data for any given date will be considered finalized once data for the following calendar day is published on CoinGecko’s “Historical Data” page. This market will resolve based on the specified CoinGecko chart, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-usdt-market-cap-hit-by-december-31
| DonaldMay8770 |
| No |
| 842 |
| AngelaPowell8296 | Yes | 798 |
| hedgefundcorp | Yes | 779 |
| goiasec | No | 777 |
| DanThomas6686 | Yes | 767 |
| tradebtc | Yes | 764 |
| KendraCrawford3864 | No | 763 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
