Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 208.82 | $0.255 | $61.6 | +$8.43 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mohammed Ashiru Isa win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?No | buy | 1.91 | $0.780 | $1.49 | 1h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 267.32 |
| $0.055 |
| $35.42 |
| +$20.65 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | No | 54.69 | $0.656 | $35.28 | -$0.62 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 21.46 | $0.930 | $21.32 | +$1.36 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 22.03 | $0.571 | $20.49 | +$7.91 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 33.35 | $0.596 | $20.18 | +$0.32 |
 Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 15.42 | $0.973 | $15.38 | +$0.38 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 12.43 | $0.800 | $11 | +$1.06 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 22.58 | $0.351 | $10.52 | +$2.59 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 7.94 | $0.656 | $6.31 | +$1.1 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 6.33 | $0.790 | $6.14 | +$1.14 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 5.75 | $0.760 | $5.26 | +$0.89 |
 Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 5.11 | $0.972 | $4.92 | -$0.05 |
 KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? | No | 3.81 | $0.880 | $3.57 | +$0.22 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 9.26 | $0.540 | $3.38 | -$1.62 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 3.82 | $0.360 | $3.27 | +$1.89 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes | 24.61 | $0.142 | $2.78 | -$0.71 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 3.05 | $0.830 | $2.73 | +$0.2 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | Yes | 10.27 | $0.220 | $2.62 | +$0.36 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 54.06 | $0.133 | $2.43 | -$4.75 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 9.33 | $0.520 | $1.91 | -$2.94 |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 11.56 | $0.199 | $1.65 | -$0.65 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 47.17 | $0.061 | $1.63 | -$1.25 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.170 | $1.62 | -$3.38 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 3.14 | $0.440 | $1.58 | +$0.2 |
| buy |
| 20.26 |
| $0.982 |
| $19.9 |
| Aug 9, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.690 | $0.02 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.3 | $0.167 | $0.05 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.09 | $0.144 | $0.01 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.97 | $0.120 | $0.48 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.150 | $0 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 0.13 | $0.140 | $0.02 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.150 | $0 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 0.14 | $0.140 | $0.02 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.120 | $0 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 2.2 | $0.600 | $1.32 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 2.14 | $0.600 | $1.28 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.600 | $0.03 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.600 | $0.91 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.600 | $0.04 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.600 | $0.06 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 0.17 | $0.100 | $0.02 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.130 | $0.01 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.120 | $0.01 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 3.14 | $0.440 | $1.38 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.87 | $0.120 | $0.46 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will France win on 2026-07-18?Yes | sell | 5.42 | $0.380 | $2.06 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18?Yes | buy | 5.42 | $0.570 | $3.09 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | buy | 11.56 | $0.199 | $2.3 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes | sell | 6.6 | $0.440 | $2.9 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.210 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.6 | $0.480 | $3.17 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.142 | $3.55 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.210 | $0.01 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.210 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.09 | $0.210 | $0.02 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.210 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.210 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.210 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.210 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.210 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.210 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.210 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 20.96 | $0.230 | $4.82 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.210 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 9.08 | $0.120 | $1.09 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No | buy | 8.03 | $0.610 | $4.9 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.210 | $0.01 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.210 | $0.01 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.210 | $0 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No | buy | 8.03 | $0.610 | $4.9 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 32.5 | $0.120 | $3.9 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No | buy | 8.03 | $0.610 | $4.9 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 9.08 | $0.120 | $1.09 | Jul 16, 2026 |