Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 21.05 | $0.024 | $0.5 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 12 |
| $0.950 |
| $11.4 |
| Nov 28, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 12 | $0.690 | $8.28 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?No | buy | 66.21 | $0.140 | $9.27 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?No | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 10.71 | $0.270 | $2.89 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 4.62 | $0.650 | $3 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.998 | $1.09 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.998 | $1.12 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.370 | $3 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.887 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 US strikes Yemen before August?Yes | sell | 111.98 | $0.004 | $0.43 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Houthi strike on Israel before August?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.006 | $0.06 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran in July?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.015 | $0.25 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?No | buy | 158.31 | $0.006 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda by July 31?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.023 | $0.26 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.090 | $0.36 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | sell | 8.92 | $0.910 | $8.12 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Friday?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.200 | $0.67 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Friday?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| US strikes Yemen before August?Yes | buy | 84.42 | $0.012 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Israel military action against Iran in July?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Syria by Friday?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda by July 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "WSJ" or "Wall Street Journal" this week?Yes | buy | 4.05 | $0.740 | $3 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| US strikes Yemen before August?Yes | buy | 27.57 | $0.036 | $1 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel before August?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?Yes | sell | 3.77 | $0.998 | $3.76 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will LDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?No | sell | 8.33 | $0.003 | $0.02 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?Yes | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will LDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?No | sell | 19.78 | $0.985 | $19.48 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?No | buy | 19.78 | $0.960 | $19 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JuneYes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jun 12, 2025 |