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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 983.7 | $0.154 | $560.71 | +$409.4 |
 Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Next Kimi K model released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 9.44 | $0.129 | $1.22 | 1h ago |
 |
| No |
| 309.39 |
| $0.774 |
| $301.66 |
| +$62.06 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? | No | 273.43 | $0.440 | $181.83 | +$61.57 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 278.72 | $0.549 | $172.81 | +$19.76 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 608.44 | $0.379 | $170.36 | -$60.31 |
 Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | No | 167.73 | $0.749 | $128.31 | +$2.64 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 148.43 | $0.117 | $123.79 | +$106.37 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet? | No | 186.99 | $0.361 | $123.41 | +$55.93 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026? | No | 126.05 | $0.720 | $108.4 | +$17.65 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 429.71 | $0.276 | $107.43 | -$11.08 |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena) | No | 118.72 | $0.812 | $105.07 | +$8.64 |
 Will the median home value in NYC be between $609,000 and $636,000 on September 30? | No | 110.39 | $0.546 | $103.44 | +$43.16 |
| Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30? | No | 235.98 | $0.479 | $100.53 | -$12.44 |
 Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 302.41 | $0.179 | $90.57 | +$36.32 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 96.1 | $0.920 | $89.85 | +$1.45 |
 Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k? | Yes | 120 | $0.500 | $87 | +$27 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11? | No | 314.4 | $0.349 | $86.46 | -$23.36 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 96.17 | $0.655 | $84.63 | +$21.61 |
 Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? | No | 93.85 | $0.784 | $81.65 | +$8.11 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 952.54 | $0.206 | $80.97 | -$115.57 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 97.8 | $0.779 | $76.77 | +$0.6 |
 Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 198.67 | $0.536 | $76.49 | -$30.01 |
 Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? | Yes | 147.44 | $0.420 | $74.46 | +$12.53 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | No | 95.21 | $0.730 | $72.84 | +$3.33 |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026? | No | 92.98 | $0.590 | $70.2 | +$15.34 |
| buy |
| 20.65 |
| $0.281 |
| $5.8 |
| 2h ago |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.281 | $1.22 | 2h ago |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 17.38 | $0.275 | $4.78 | 2h ago |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 105.29 | $0.276 | $29.01 | 2h ago |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 17.36 | $0.275 | $4.77 | 2h ago |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 45.13 | $0.275 | $12.41 | 2h ago |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 21.55 | $0.276 | $5.95 | 2h ago |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 104.85 | $0.275 | $28.79 | 2h ago |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 5.44 | $0.272 | $1.48 | 2h ago |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 48.56 | $0.271 | $13.17 | 2h ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 20.8 | $0.775 | $16.12 | 3h ago |
| Will ByteDance have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 9.13 | $0.919 | $8.39 | 4h ago |
| Will ByteDance have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 8.83 | $0.900 | $7.95 | 4h ago |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 13.87 | $0.180 | $2.5 | 14h ago |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?No | buy | 17.23 | $0.450 | $7.75 | 14h ago |
| Next Kimi K model released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 42.8 | $0.070 | $2.99 | 15h ago |
 Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?No | buy | 13.73 | $0.929 | $12.76 | 17h ago |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?No | buy | 43.1 | $0.922 | $39.74 | 18h ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 278.72 | $0.549 | $153.04 | 1d ago |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 72.13 | $0.987 | $71.16 | 1d ago |
| Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 103.12 | $0.970 | $100.03 | 1d ago |
| Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 72.56 | $0.174 | $12.6 | 1d ago |
 Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 17.98 | $0.250 | $4.5 | 1d ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | buy | 134.2 | $0.140 | $18.79 | 1d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?Yes | buy | 128.08 | $0.655 | $83.87 | 1d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | buy | 74.62 | $0.140 | $10.45 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 9.94 | $0.180 | $1.79 | 1d ago |
 Next DeepSeek Flash released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.436 | $5.32 | 2d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?No | buy | 55.19 | $0.835 | $46.07 | 3d ago |
| Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.89 | $0.150 | $1.48 | 3d ago |
 Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 15.07 | $0.943 | $14.22 | 3d ago |
 Will John Ternus say "Afford" or "Affordable" during his Apple Keynote?No | buy | 57.52 | $0.860 | $49.47 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 34.85 | $0.210 | $7.32 | 4d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | buy | 199.03 | $0.150 | $29.85 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 8.64 | $0.646 | $5.58 | 4d ago |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 49.93 | $0.020 | $0.98 | 4d ago |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.47K | $0.250 | $367.16 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 24.9 | $0.820 | $20.42 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 3.98 | $0.880 | $3.5 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 2.39 | $0.770 | $1.84 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 12.76 | $0.785 | $10.02 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 34.8 | $0.842 | $29.3 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.440 | $2.84 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 32.3 | $0.213 | $6.88 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 59.87 | $0.614 | $36.74 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.1 | $0.810 | $3.32 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 134.94 | $0.810 | $109.3 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.58 | $0.924 | $17.18 | 5d ago |