Latest trade
Oct 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 10:03 AM UTC.
Analytics
wienerdog has made $20.15K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 10:03 AM UTC.
$90.39 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 15 markets; 58.0% were buys. They run from Oct 25, 2026 UTC to Oct 26, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 17.01K | $0.792 | $14.55K | +$1.07K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.98K | $0.348 | $1.38K | 1h ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-26 05:18 UTC
Polymarket public position response
46 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 10:03 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 10:03 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-26 05:18 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $74.91K and losing ones cost $56.42K across the latest 50 settled positions. 56% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $12.02K on “Will Navi Pillay win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $5.46K on “Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 26 Oct 2026. It has traded 231 markets. Its open positions are worth $47.14K across 46 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 7.4K |
| $0.755 |
| $6.03K |
| +$442.37 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | Yes | 4.77K | $0.880 | $4.51K | +$310.24 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | No | 8.36K | $0.521 | $4.22K | -$130.89 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.09K | $0.350 | $3.13K | -$49.52 |
 Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? | No | 3.25K | $0.887 | $3.07K | +$187.91 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | No | 6.94K | $0.418 | $2.4K | -$504.68 |
 Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31? | No | 3.18K | $0.377 | $1.19K | -$5.66 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 2.12K | $0.543 | $1.08K | -$69.12 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | Yes | 6.87K | $0.603 | $927.27 | -$3.22K |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | Yes | 8.43K | $0.071 | $619.61 | +$21.08 |
 Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election? | No | 1.31K | $0.365 | $561.32 | +$84.39 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 1.36K | $0.473 | $510.4 | -$133.37 |
 Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 6.1K | $0.048 | $454.58 | +$160.61 |
 Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31? | No | 373.04 | $0.936 | $307.76 | -$41.42 |
 Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | Yes | 305.46 | $0.882 | $281.17 | +$11.61 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.82K | $0.076 | $276.23 | -$242.5 |
 Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | No | 1.7K | $0.360 | $263.5 | -$348.5 |
 Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 1.85K | $0.359 | $258.83 | -$405.15 |
 Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | No | 443.53 | $0.477 | $237.29 | +$25.47 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | No | 604.71 | $0.413 | $226.77 | -$23.23 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | Yes | 2.37K | $0.094 | $225.52 | +$2.26 |
 Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | No | 821.31 | $0.356 | $184.79 | -$107.32 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | 332.04 | $0.491 | $179.3 | +$16.28 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 2.93K | $0.068 | $175.66 | -$24.34 |
| sell |
| 0.33 |
| $0.220 |
| $0.07 |
| 1h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 92.3 | $0.220 | $20.31 | 2h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?No | buy | 37.81 | $0.526 | $19.89 | 2h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?No | buy | 37.08 | $0.526 | $19.5 | 3h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.526 | $2.72 | 3h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.526 | $2.92 | 3h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?No | buy | 5 | $0.526 | $2.63 | 3h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?No | buy | 11.12 | $0.526 | $5.85 | 3h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?No | buy | 5 | $0.526 | $2.63 | 3h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.220 | $1.98 | 3h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.56 | $0.220 | $2.54 | 3h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 759.47 | $0.220 | $167.08 | 3h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 465 | $0.348 | $161.82 | 3h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?No | sell | 604.71 | $0.413 | $249.57 | 3h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | sell | 2.12K | $0.525 | $1.11K | 3h ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?No | sell | 550.79 | $0.900 | $495.71 | 7h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.11 | $0.356 | $1.11 | 8h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 779.3 | $0.356 | $277.43 | 8h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.46K | $0.356 | $518.69 | 9h ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.21K | $0.080 | $96.57 | 11h ago |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.69K | $0.890 | $1.5K | 11h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?No | buy | 1.21K | $0.413 | $499.99 | 12h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | buy | 4.24K | $0.543 | $2.3K | 12h ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.21K | $0.083 | $100 | 12h ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.74K | $0.920 | $1.6K | 12h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?No | sell | 2.7K | $0.700 | $1.89K | 12h ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.071 | $284 | 12h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?No | sell | 2.9K | $0.720 | $2.09K | 13h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?No | sell | 308.77 | $0.726 | $224.1 | 13h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?No | sell | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | 13h ago |
| Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?No | buy | 16.95 | $0.410 | $6.95 | 15h ago |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?No | sell | 98.25 | $0.966 | $94.91 | 15h ago |
| Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.420 | $60 | 15h ago |
| Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?No | buy | 451 | $0.393 | $177.11 | 15h ago |
| Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?No | buy | 34 | $0.410 | $13.94 | 15h ago |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 0.25 | $0.060 | $0.02 | 19h ago |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.060 | $4.44 | 19h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 302.8 | $0.356 | $107.8 | 20h ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?No | sell | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | 21h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.230 | $46 | 21h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 310.56 | $0.356 | $110.56 | 22h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?No | buy | 10 | $0.580 | $5.8 | 22h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 136.26 | $0.356 | $48.51 | 22h ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?No | sell | 28 | $0.890 | $24.92 | 22h ago |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?No | sell | 942.83 | $0.950 | $895.69 | 1d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?No | buy | 1K | $0.580 | $580 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Yes | sell | 92.93 | $0.924 | $85.86 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 126.58 | $0.230 | $29.11 | 1d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.580 | $2.76 | 1d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.