Analytics
wienerdog has made $20.15K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 17.01K | $0.792 | $14.55K | +$1.07K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-26 05:18 UTC
Polymarket public position response
45 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 11:37 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 11:37 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-26 05:18 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $74.91K and losing ones cost $56.42K across the latest 50 settled positions. 56% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $12.02K on “Will Navi Pillay win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $5.46K on “Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?” (No).
It has traded 231 markets. Its open positions are worth $47K across 45 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 7.4K |
| $0.755 |
| $6.03K |
| +$442.37 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | Yes | 4.77K | $0.880 | $4.51K | +$310.24 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | No | 8.36K | $0.521 | $4.05K | -$298.07 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.09K | $0.350 | $3.18K | +$0.47 |
 Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? | No | 3.25K | $0.887 | $3.07K | +$187.91 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | No | 6.94K | $0.418 | $2.4K | -$504.68 |
 Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31? | No | 3.18K | $0.377 | $1.27K | +$73.83 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 2.12K | $0.543 | $1.06K | -$90.32 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | Yes | 6.87K | $0.603 | $961.61 | -$3.18K |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | Yes | 8.43K | $0.071 | $619.61 | +$21.08 |
 Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election? | No | 1.31K | $0.365 | $561.32 | +$84.39 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 1.36K | $0.473 | $510.4 | -$133.37 |
 Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 6.1K | $0.048 | $463.73 | +$169.76 |
 Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31? | No | 373.04 | $0.936 | $307.76 | -$41.42 |
 Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | Yes | 305.46 | $0.882 | $282.09 | +$12.53 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.82K | $0.076 | $279.64 | -$239.09 |
 Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 1.85K | $0.359 | $268.07 | -$395.9 |
 Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | No | 443.53 | $0.477 | $239.51 | +$27.69 |
 Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | No | 1.7K | $0.360 | $238 | -$374 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | Yes | 2.37K | $0.094 | $225.52 | +$2.26 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | No | 604.71 | $0.413 | $220.72 | -$29.28 |
 Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | No | 821.31 | $0.356 | $180.69 | -$111.43 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | 332.04 | $0.491 | $177.64 | +$14.62 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 2.93K | $0.068 | $177.12 | -$22.88 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
