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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 18.5K | $0.810 | $16.19K | +$1.21K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 3.5K | $0.870 | $3.05K | 21h ago |
 |
| No |
| 12K |
| $0.870 |
| $11.6K |
| +$1.16K |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 7.29K | $0.971 | $7.29K | +$205.89 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 7.13K | $0.983 | $7.02K | +$11.01 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 6.2K | $0.980 | $6.07K | -$9.3 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 5.8K | $0.870 | $4.96K | -$87 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 4.4K | $0.810 | $3.67K | +$110 |
| buy |
| 7.13K |
| $0.983 |
| $7.01K |
| 21h ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 5.8K | $0.870 | $5.05K | 21h ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 6.2K | $0.980 | $6.08K | 6d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 4.4K | $0.923 | $4.06K | 12d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.4K | $0.958 | $6.13K | 13d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 8K | $0.908 | $7.26K | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.5K | $0.735 | $4.04K | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.4K | $0.920 | $4.97K | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 5.17K | $0.970 | $5.01K | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.26K | $0.987 | $5.19K | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 12K | $0.975 | $11.7K | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 7.29K | $0.971 | $7.08K | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 5.2K | $0.973 | $5.06K | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 5.3K | $0.950 | $5.04K | May 22, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.25K | $0.959 | $5.03K | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 15K | $0.796 | $11.93K | May 12, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 25K | $0.997 | $24.93K | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | buy | 4.3K | $0.940 | $4.04K | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 11.4K | $0.880 | $10.03K | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 5.62K | $0.890 | $5K | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 5.28K | $0.947 | $5K | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 10.87K | $0.920 | $10K | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 9.16K | $0.959 | $8.78K | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | buy | 2.63K | $0.761 | $2K | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 5.79K | $0.863 | $5K | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 240 | $0.829 | $198.94 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 5.89K | $0.828 | $4.88K | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.4K | $0.980 | $6.27K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 2.57K | $0.948 | $2.44K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 9.53K | $0.930 | $8.86K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?No | buy | 6.4K | $0.980 | $6.27K | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?Yes | buy | 4.15K | $0.957 | $3.97K | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?No | buy | 11.87K | $0.978 | $11.61K | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 2K | $0.959 | $1.92K | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2.17K | $0.947 | $2.06K | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 11K | $0.958 | $10.54K | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | sell | 1.1K | $0.953 | $1.05K | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.815 | $977.78 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 11.56K | $0.946 | $10.94K | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?No | buy | 3.53K | $0.967 | $3.41K | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 8.7K | $0.999 | $8.69K | Jan 22, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.959 | $1.92K | Jan 18, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.959 | $1.92K | Jan 18, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.959 | $1.92K | Jan 18, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.959 | $4.8K | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 3.53K | $0.985 | $3.48K | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?No | buy | 9.99K | $0.989 | $9.88K | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 5.07K | $0.991 | $5.02K | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 12.78K | $0.980 | $12.52K | Jan 16, 2026 |