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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 0.24 | $0.937 | $0.23 | +$0.01 |
 Will Alberta join the US? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 173 | $0.969 | $167.64 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 0.52 |
| $0.043 |
| $0.01 |
| -$0.01 |
| buy |
| 222 |
| $0.870 |
| $193.14 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 346 | $0.140 | $48.44 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 280 | $0.560 | $156.8 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 231 | $0.200 | $46.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 91 | $0.080 | $7.28 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 200 | $0.840 | $168 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 125 | $0.900 | $112.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 125 | $0.900 | $112.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 251 | $0.250 | $62.75 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 270 | $0.250 | $67.5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 270 | $0.270 | $72.9 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes | buy | 333 | $0.036 | $11.99 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 286 | $0.440 | $125.84 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.480 | $15.84 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 234 | $0.470 | $109.98 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 264 | $0.180 | $47.52 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 276 | $0.042 | $11.59 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 276 | $0.043 | $11.87 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 184 | $0.935 | $172.04 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 162 | $0.037 | $5.99 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 326 | $0.420 | $136.92 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 443 | $0.420 | $186.06 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.019 | $1.99 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 253 | $0.590 | $149.27 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 170.46 | $0.840 | $143.19 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 196 | $0.840 | $164.64 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 122 | $0.012 | $1.46 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 176 | $0.936 | $164.74 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 176 | $0.936 | $164.74 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 328 | $0.490 | $160.72 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 328 | $0.490 | $160.72 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 263 | $0.560 | $147.28 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 360 | $0.460 | $165.6 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 158 | $0.550 | $86.9 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 301 | $0.550 | $165.55 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 146 | $0.015 | $2.19 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 170 | $0.970 | $164.9 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 170 | $0.968 | $164.56 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 164 | $0.910 | $149.24 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 164 | $0.910 | $149.24 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 165 | $0.015 | $2.48 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 191 | $0.550 | $105.05 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 293 | $0.500 | $146.5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 110 | $0.963 | $105.93 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 303 | $0.540 | $163.62 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 303 | $0.550 | $166.65 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.013 | $0.74 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 116 | $0.610 | $70.76 | Jun 3, 2026 |