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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | Feb 15, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 376.79 |
| $0.027 |
| $10 |
| Feb 15, 2025 |
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | sell | 37.48 | $0.971 | $36.41 | Feb 5, 2025 |
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 37.48 | $0.534 | $20 | Jan 31, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.060 | $20 | Jan 16, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 183.8 | $0.022 | $4 | Jan 6, 2025 |
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.050 | $3 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Oct 28, 2024 |
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 117.17 | $0.047 | $5.51 | Jul 22, 2024 |
Is $DJT real?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.009 | $10 | Jun 22, 2024 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.39K | $0.036 | $50 | Jun 16, 2024 |
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?Yes | sell | 650 | $0.070 | $45.5 | Jun 16, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 22.53 | $0.490 | $11.04 | Jan 17, 2024 |
[Single Market] Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 408.84 | $0.027 | $11.04 | Jan 17, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 34.5 | $0.480 | $16.56 | Jan 11, 2024 |
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.167 | $100 | Jan 3, 2024 |
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?No | sell | 50 | $0.840 | $42 | Jan 3, 2024 |
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February?No | buy | 360.71 | $0.416 | $150 | Jan 3, 2024 |
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.018 | $55.25 | Nov 19, 2023 |
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.669 | $200.56 | Nov 19, 2023 |
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?No | sell | 312.5 | $0.060 | $18.75 | Nov 18, 2023 |
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?Yes | buy | 281.17 | $0.158 | $44.46 | Nov 18, 2023 |
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.140 | $25 | Nov 18, 2023 |
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.050 | $15 | Nov 18, 2023 |
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?No | buy | 312.5 | $0.080 | $25 | Nov 18, 2023 |
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31?Yes | sell | 112.85 | $0.970 | $109.46 | Nov 18, 2023 |
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31?Yes | buy | 62.86 | $0.700 | $44 | Nov 18, 2023 |
[Single Market] Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.110 | $44 | Oct 16, 2023 |
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.090 | $3.6 | Sep 14, 2023 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023?Yes | buy | 425.53 | $0.047 | $20 | Sep 13, 2023 |