Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Nov 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 19 Nov 2023. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2023 to 25 Nov 2023, the highest close was 51.5% on 19 Nov 2023 and the lowest 0.1% on 25 Nov 2023. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 10.5% on 20 Nov 2023. $58.57K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 2:58 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 19 Nov 2023 – 25 Nov 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2023 | 51.5% |
| 25 Nov 2023 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hmm | Yes | 400 |
| WinAllDay | Yes | 208.33 |
| pinkstenis | Yes | 111.11 |
| atleroz | Yes | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman officially announces the creation of a new company where he holds a significant position (such as founder, co-founder, CEO, etc.) by November 24, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The announcement must be public and verifiable, and can come via a variety of official channels, including but not limited to, Sam Altman's verified social media accounts, press releases, media reports, or official company announcements. For clarity, the announcement must explicitly reference the creation of a new company and not merely imply it. Note that an announcement by the resolution date of a new company suffices - the company need not be created by the resolution date.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sam-altman-announces-new-company-by-nov-24
| flores4324 | Yes | 22.73 |
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