Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 25% on 16 Dec 2022. Before it settled, across the 568 daily closes on record from 16 Dec 2022 to 18 Jul 2024 (13 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 48% on 20 Dec 2022 and the lowest 0.2% on 17 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 44% on 18 Dec 2022. $490.48K traded over the market's life.
74 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 18, 3:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 568 points, 16 Dec 2022 – 18 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2022 | 25.0% |
| 18 Jul 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid Atlas 8C3A | Yes | 31.28K |
| asc | Yes | 11.19K |
| bestname | Yes | 10.39K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ronald Dion de Santis wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-the-us-2024-republican-presidential-nomination
| ugyhuijkl | No | 3.22K |
| Partial-Boost | No | 2.78K |
| randomtrader | Yes | 2.55K |
| motherbear | No | 2.36K |
| Tangible-Rations | Yes | 1.85K |
| cristianschumy | Yes | 1.66K |
| Whole-Enforcement | No | 1.35K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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