Latest trade
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:46 PM UTC.
Analytics
defeatatmarengo is down $588.25 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 23 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-05 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:46 PM UTC.
$20 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 35 markets; 86.0% were buys. They run from Sep 7, 2026 UTC to Oct 24, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 998.75 | $0.579 | $828.46 | +$250.12 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 298.75 | $0.805 | $240.49 | 7h ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-05 17:02 UTC
Polymarket public position response
37 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 20:46 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 20:46 UTC
polymarket positions
24 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-05 17:02 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.44K and losing ones cost $112.55 across 23 settled positions. 73.9% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $817.92 on “Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?” (Yes); the largest loss, $43.13 on “Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 24 Oct 2026. It has traded 73 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.07K across 37 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 370 |
| $0.689 |
| $214.6 |
| -$40.5 |
 Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 245.1 | $0.820 | $200.98 | +$0.01 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 406.39 | $0.465 | $186.33 | -$2.47 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | Yes | 266.23 | $0.376 | $105.16 | +$5.16 |
 Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote? | Yes | 402.34 | $0.454 | $102.6 | -$80.04 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 153.85 | $0.650 | $96.15 | -$3.85 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 541.7 | $0.192 | $89.38 | -$14.62 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | Yes | 207.14 | $0.483 | $81.82 | -$18.18 |
 Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 70 | $0.770 | $59.85 | +$5.95 |
 Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 36.89 | $0.564 | $30.62 | +$9.81 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 202.04 | $0.100 | $19.09 | -$1.21 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 416.67 | $0.012 | $8.96 | +$3.96 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 384.62 | $0.013 | $5.58 | +$0.58 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 721.23 | $0.035 | $5.41 | -$19.68 |
 Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 505 | $0.049 | $5.3 | -$19.44 |
 Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1K | $0.001 | $3.5 | +$2.5 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 3.54 | $0.880 | $3.17 | +$0.05 |
 Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? | Yes | 5 | $0.890 | $3.15 | -$1.3 |
 Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1K | $0.001 | $2.5 | +$1.5 |
 Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.060 | $2.5 | -$7.5 |
 Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | No | 2.47 | $0.810 | $1.93 | -$0.07 |
 Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 986.54 | $0.001 | $1.48 | +$0.48 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| buy |
| 526.32 |
| $0.190 |
| $100 |
| 2d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.24 | $0.805 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.690 | $89.7 | 3d ago |
| Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?Yes | buy | 29.9 | $0.460 | $13.75 | 4d ago |
| Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?Yes | buy | 128 | $0.460 | $58.88 | 4d ago |
| Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?Yes | buy | 244.44 | $0.450 | $110 | 4d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.467 | $186.8 | 4d ago |
| Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.770 | $53.9 | 4d ago |
| Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.689 | $165.4 | 4d ago |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.103 | $10.3 | 15d ago |
| Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | buy | 14.99 | $0.570 | $8.54 | 15d ago |
| Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | buy | 21.9 | $0.560 | $12.26 | 15d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes | buy | 207.14 | $0.483 | $100 | 15d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes | buy | 266.23 | $0.376 | $100 | 16d ago |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes | buy | 243.9 | $0.820 | $200 | 18d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | 18d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.650 | $100 | 19d ago |
 Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | 19d ago |
 Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | 19d ago |
 Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | 19d ago |
 Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | 19d ago |
 Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | 19d ago |
 Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | 19d ago |
 Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 622.8 | $0.002 | $1 | 19d ago |
| Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | 19d ago |
 Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | 19d ago |
| Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | 19d ago |
 Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | 19d ago |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 986.54 | $0.001 | $1 | 19d ago |
 Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | 19d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Yes | buy | 336.67 | $0.030 | $10 | 19d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 357.34 | $0.840 | $300 | 19d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.120 | $0.71 | 20d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | 21d ago |
 Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5?Lula | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | 23d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.900 | $200 | 23d ago |
 Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 333.63 | $0.450 | $150 | 26d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win 6% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 155.98 | $0.128 | $20 | 26d ago |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | sell | 615.74 | $0.750 | $461.81 | 26d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.517 | $413.6 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.854 | $256.2 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.870 | $26.1 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?Yes | sell | 253.22 | $0.873 | $220.97 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?Yes | sell | 43.8 | $0.870 | $38.11 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?No | buy | 110.91 | $0.420 | $46.58 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?No | buy | 15.52 | $0.420 | $6.52 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?No | buy | 8.62 | $0.420 | $3.62 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?No | buy | 114.93 | $0.420 | $48.27 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?No | buy | 50 | $0.420 | $21 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.