Analytics
Yes is at 64.5%, up 21 points from 44% when the market opened on 6 Oct 2026.
Across the 16 daily closes on record from 6 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 70.5% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 24% on 7 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 68.5%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 24% on 7 Oct 2026.
Likud is the favourite of the 14 outcomes in “Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place”, ahead of Yashar at 29%.
$320.69 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $10.41K since listing. The order book holds $37.44K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 200 trades, $2.07K bought Yes and $1.38K bought No.
The largest Yes position is leCommissaire with 825 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 3.3K. Ten wallets hold 82.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 28 Oct 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 4:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 6 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | 44.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 66.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.3K |
| leCommissaire | Yes | 825 |
| mountaindewd | Yes | 820.79 |
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Israeli government, including the Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israeli-legislative-election-2nd-place
2 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| rexcom |
| Yes |
| 449.99 |
| omsode | Yes | 434 |
| defeatatmarengo | Yes | 370 |
| eqzwe103qwie | No | 323.31 |
| sitaux | Yes | 299.99 |
| Wan-Fusarium | Yes | 287 |
| 770zefat | No | 207.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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