Analytics
defeatatmarengo is down $588.25 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 23 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-05 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 998.75 | $0.579 | $833.45 | +$255.11 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-05 17:02 UTC
Polymarket public position response
37 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 19:26 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 19:26 UTC
polymarket positions
24 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-05 17:02 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.44K and losing ones cost $112.55 across 23 settled positions. 73.9% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $817.92 on “Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?” (Yes); the largest loss, $43.13 on “Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?” (Yes).
It has traded 73 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.1K across 37 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 370 |
| $0.689 |
| $240.5 |
| -$14.6 |
 Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 245.1 | $0.820 | $200.98 | +$0.01 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 406.39 | $0.465 | $186.33 | -$2.47 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | Yes | 266.23 | $0.376 | $107.82 | +$7.82 |
 Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote? | Yes | 402.34 | $0.454 | $104.61 | -$78.02 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 153.85 | $0.650 | $96.15 | -$3.85 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 541.7 | $0.192 | $89.38 | -$14.62 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | Yes | 207.14 | $0.483 | $79.75 | -$20.25 |
 Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 70 | $0.770 | $59.85 | +$5.95 |
 Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 36.89 | $0.564 | $30.62 | +$9.81 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 202.04 | $0.100 | $19.09 | -$1.21 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 416.67 | $0.012 | $8.96 | +$3.96 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 384.62 | $0.013 | $5.58 | +$0.58 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 721.23 | $0.035 | $5.41 | -$19.68 |
 Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 505 | $0.049 | $5.3 | -$19.44 |
 Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1K | $0.001 | $3.5 | +$2.5 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 3.54 | $0.880 | $3.17 | +$0.05 |
 Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? | Yes | 5 | $0.890 | $3.15 | -$1.3 |
 Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1K | $0.001 | $2.5 | +$1.5 |
 Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.060 | $2.5 | -$7.5 |
 Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | No | 2.47 | $0.810 | $1.93 | -$0.07 |
 Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 986.54 | $0.001 | $1.48 | +$0.48 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
