
Resolved Yes on 17 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 14 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 14 Aug 2026 to 17 Sep 2026, the highest close was 100% on 15 Sep 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 14 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 37% on 15 Aug 2026. $249.2K traded over the market's life.
112 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 14 Aug 2026 – 17 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | 8.5% |
| 17 Sep 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BiDiFakePolls | No | 8.73K |
| maceman | No | 2.38K |
| JAMJAMJAM4 | No | 1.3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Liberals (L) receive at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Liberals, officially registered as Liberalerna (L). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If L formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Liberals (L) in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sweden-parliamentary-election-liberals-win-seats-20260812164320900
| No |
| 1.21K |
| defeatatmarengo | No | 1.01K |
| Devoted-Route | No | 911.61 |
| JUdgeM | No | 759.98 |
| pieped | No | 700 |
| Botulf | No | 596.68 |
| JPLP | No | 527.5 |
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