Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pope Leo visit another country first?Yes | sell | 104.24 | $0.100 | $10.38 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 6.25 |
| $0.160 |
| $1 |
| Jun 30, 2025 |
 Iran strike on Israel by Friday?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 66.16 | $0.605 | $40 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 10.48 | $0.830 | $8.7 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 254.93 | $0.031 | $7.9 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No | buy | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 21.16 | $0.945 | $20 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 78.43 | $0.051 | $4 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.051 | $1 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.051 | $1 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.051 | $1 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?Yes | sell | 76.52 | $0.499 | $38.19 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.918 | $1 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.182 | $1 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.820 | $4 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 7.36 | $0.815 | $6 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 24.72 | $0.809 | $20 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $500-750b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | sell | 1.45K | $0.002 | $3 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will reconciliation bill be passed by August 31?No | sell | 248.44 | $0.129 | $31.98 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will reconciliation bill be passed by August 31?No | buy | 55.75 | $0.054 | $3 | May 28, 2025 |
| Will reconciliation bill be passed by August 31?No | buy | 192.69 | $0.052 | $10 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will JD Vance say "David Sacks" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.999 | $3.7 | May 28, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance say "Dinner" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.999 | $6.65 | May 28, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance say "Free speech" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?Yes | sell | 61.21 | $0.001 | $0.06 | May 28, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?Yes | sell | 2.49 | $0.999 | $2.49 | May 28, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | May 28, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance say "Dinner" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | May 28, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance say "Free speech" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?Yes | buy | 61.21 | $0.327 | $20 | May 28, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance say "David Sacks" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.071 | $1 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 10.8 | $0.926 | $10 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 505.94 | $0.006 | $3.04 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | May 27, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | May 27, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | May 27, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | May 27, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo visit another country first?Yes | buy | 16.45 | $0.061 | $1 | May 27, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo visit another country first?Yes | buy | 67.8 | $0.059 | $4 | May 27, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?Yes | sell | 76.52 | $0.540 | $41.32 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 23–30?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.300 | $8 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | sell | 34.09 | $0.110 | $3.75 | May 26, 2025 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 74.8 | $0.068 | $5.09 | May 26, 2025 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 18.2 | $0.055 | $1 | May 25, 2025 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.053 | $1 | May 25, 2025 |