Analytics
Resolved Yes on 28 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 60.5%. Yes opened at 42% on 20 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 20 May 2025 to 28 May 2025, the highest close was 60.5% on 28 May 2025 and the lowest 39% on 24 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 60.5% on 28 May 2025. $11.55K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 30, 12:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 20 May 2025 – 28 May 2025, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 May 2025 | 42.0% |
| 28 May 2025 | 60.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Misty Falcon 32BA | No | 635 |
| Azure Summit 1D40 | No | 375 |
| Misty Raven 0ED1 | No | 370 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
JD Vance is scheduled to address the Bitcoin 2025 conference on May 28 at 12:00 PM ET (https://bitcoinmagazine.com/politics/u-s-vice-president-jd-vance-to-speak-at-bitcoin-2025-conference). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vance says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the specified scheduled speech Vance gives at this event. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not made available by May 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the video of the event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-bitcoin-2025-conference-on-may-28th
| No |
| 255 |
| Misty Lynx 6FD2 | No | 165 |
| Lunar Scout 86D8 | No | 115 |
| Bold Pulse A21B | No | 85 |
| excelllence | No | 40.4 |
| IPhone | No | 8.16 |
| macro.strategy | Yes | 0.06 |
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