Analytics
prediction231 is down $28.86 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 33 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-22 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany? | Yes | 44 | $0.430 | $26.62 | +$7.7 |
 Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $60 in October? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-22 22:24 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-23 02:38 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-23 02:38 UTC
polymarket positions
35 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-22 22:24 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $50.27 and losing ones cost $43.15 across 33 settled positions. 39.4% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $11.4 on “Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?” (No); the largest loss, $12 on “Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?” (No).
It has traded 82 markets. Its open positions are worth $293.67 across 60 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 20 |
| $0.390 |
| $17.4 |
| +$9.6 |
 Will Seoul have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October? | No | 17.2 | $0.692 | $17.17 | +$5.27 |
 Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? | No | 20 | $0.450 | $9.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000? | Yes | 20 | $0.467 | $9.1 | -$0.24 |
 Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 20 | $0.480 | $9 | -$0.6 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 20 | $0.472 | $8.79 | -$0.65 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 20 | $0.460 | $8.7 | -$0.5 |
 Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.210 | $8.6 | +$4.4 |
 Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.370 | $8.5 | +$1.1 |
 Will Verizon (VZ) Q3 total operating revenue be above $35B? | No | 10.43 | $0.600 | $8.44 | +$2.19 |
| Will "Water Girl" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 25.02 | $0.180 | $8.01 | +$3.5 |
 Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | No | 40 | $0.195 | $7.6 | -$0.2 |
 Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award? | Yes | 20 | $0.400 | $7.4 | -$0.6 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.286 | $7.3 | +$1.58 |
 Will the Calgary Flames finish the 2026-27 regular season with the fewest points? | Yes | 20 | $0.370 | $7 | -$0.4 |
 Will Brooks & Dunn win Vocal Duo of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | No | 20 | $0.360 | $7 | -$0.2 |
 Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September? | Yes | 20 | $0.290 | $6.7 | +$0.9 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? | No | 20 | $0.350 | $6.6 | -$0.4 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.190 | $6.6 | +$2.8 |
 Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.360 | $6.6 | -$0.6 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.270 | $6.3 | +$0.9 |
 Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.65 and $0.70 on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.280 | $5.3 | -$0.3 |
 Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 20 | $0.270 | $5.1 | -$0.3 |
 Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.230 | $4.9 | +$0.3 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
