Latest trade
Jun 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 11:00 AM UTC.
Analytics
LunarFlicker is down $3.48 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 42 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-06-11 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 11:00 AM UTC.
$77.69 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 27 markets; 54.0% were buys. They run from Oct 8, 2025 UTC to Jun 10, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?Yes | sell | 20.47 | $0.996 | $20.39 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-06-11 21:28 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 11:00 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 11:00 UTC
polymarket positions
43 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-06-11 21:28 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $20 and losing ones cost $23.48 across 42 settled positions. 47.6% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $3.74 on “Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?” (No); the largest loss, $5 on “2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 10 Jun 2026. It has traded 42 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 20.47 |
| $0.977 |
| $20 |
| May 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | sell | 24.44 | $0.913 | $22.31 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 24.44 | $0.900 | $22 | Apr 30, 2026 UTC |
 Trump out as President by April 30?No | sell | 495 | $0.997 | $493.52 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President by April 30?No | buy | 495 | $0.998 | $494.01 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 495 | $0.981 | $485.59 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 495 | $0.983 | $486.59 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 495 | $0.996 | $493.02 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 495 | $0.997 | $493.52 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 500 | $0.120 | $60 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 500 | $0.130 | $65 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
 Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 58.21 | $0.937 | $54.54 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 58.22 | $0.966 | $56.24 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
 Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | sell | 50 | $0.985 | $49.26 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
| Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | buy | 50 | $0.974 | $48.7 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
 Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 55.67 | $0.982 | $54.67 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?No | buy | 53.52 | $0.994 | $53.2 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 55.69 | $0.976 | $54.35 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 55.7 | $0.981 | $54.64 | Dec 6, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?No | buy | 54.64 | $0.992 | $54.2 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
 Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?No | buy | 54.2 | $0.954 | $51.71 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?No | sell | 51.97 | $0.995 | $51.71 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?No | buy | 51.97 | $0.983 | $51.09 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November?No | sell | 51.55 | $0.991 | $51.09 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November?No | buy | 51.56 | $0.983 | $50.68 | Nov 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?No | buy | 77.68 | $0.992 | $77.06 | Oct 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?No | sell | 78.23 | $0.985 | $77.06 | Oct 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?No | buy | 78.23 | $0.990 | $77.45 | Oct 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?No | sell | 77.84 | $0.995 | $77.45 | Oct 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?No | buy | 77.85 | $0.998 | $77.69 | Oct 22, 2025 UTC |
 Will the price of Solana be above $200 on October 8?Yes | sell | 79.68 | $0.975 | $77.69 | Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Solana be above $200 on October 8?Yes | buy | 79.69 | $0.999 | $79.61 | Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?Yes | sell | 80.01 | $0.995 | $79.61 | Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 80.01 | $0.998 | $79.85 | Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 9?Yes | sell | 80.33 | $0.994 | $79.85 | Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 9?Yes | buy | 80.34 | $0.998 | $80.17 | Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 8?Yes | sell | 81.75 | $0.981 | $80.18 | Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 8?Yes | buy | 81.75 | $0.999 | $81.67 | Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 85.38 | $0.957 | $81.67 | Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 85.39 | $0.964 | $82.31 | Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?No | sell | 83.65 | $0.984 | $82.31 | Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?No | buy | 83.66 | $0.993 | $83.04 | Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?No | sell | 84.3 | $0.985 | $83.04 | Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?No | buy | 84.3 | $0.988 | $83.29 | Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?Yes | sell | 86.49 | $0.963 | $83.29 | Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?Yes | buy | 86.49 | $0.966 | $83.55 | Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 85.43 | $0.978 | $83.55 | Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 85.44 | $0.982 | $83.9 | Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 85.79 | $0.978 | $83.9 | Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.