Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 13 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 131 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2025 to 24 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 16% on 7 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Mar 2026.
126 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 25, 7:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 131 points, 13 Nov 2025 – 24 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2025 | 10.5% |
| 24 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Backpack's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Backpack (https://x.com/Backpack) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/backpack-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| Yes |
| 971.03 |
| Tiradentes | Yes | 610.73 |
| Acc20 | Yes | 563.2 |
| nnyc | Yes | 510 |
| Acc25 | Yes | 385 |
| acc29 | Yes | 383 |
| zhamazi | Yes | 372 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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