Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? | No | 4.18 | $0.957 | $3.95 | -$0.05 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No | buy | 4.18 | $0.957 | $4 | 2d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 4.84 |
| $0.951 |
| $4.6 |
| 2d ago |
| Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?No | buy | 4.84 | $0.940 | $4.55 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?No | buy | 3.98 | $0.978 | $3.89 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No | sell | 4.4 | $0.943 | $4.15 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No | buy | 4.41 | $0.955 | $4.21 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?No | sell | 2.96 | $0.983 | $2.91 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?No | buy | 2.97 | $0.994 | $2.95 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on May 10?No | buy | 4.33 | $0.994 | $4.3 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No | buy | 4.59 | $0.980 | $4.5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will James rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?No | sell | 4.51 | $0.998 | $4.5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will James rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?No | buy | 4.52 | $0.992 | $4.48 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Ye say something antisemitic before March?No | buy | 4.47 | $0.968 | $4.33 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?No | buy | 4.33 | $0.998 | $4.32 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will "Priscilla" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)No | buy | 4.32 | $0.999 | $4.32 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $120 on December 17?Yes | buy | 4.32 | $0.989 | $4.27 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 4.3 | $0.994 | $4.27 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 4.31 | $0.991 | $4.27 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of December 1 above $510?No | buy | 4.27 | $0.980 | $4.18 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | sell | 4.23 | $0.988 | $4.18 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 4.24 | $0.977 | $4.14 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Velykomykhailivka by November 30?No | sell | 4.67 | $0.887 | $4.14 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Velykomykhailivka by November 30?No | buy | 4.68 | $0.956 | $4.47 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will Ken Russell win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?No | buy | 4.47 | $0.988 | $4.42 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Russian strike on a NATO member by October 31?No | buy | 4.42 | $0.991 | $4.38 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Iraq by October 31?No | sell | 4.45 | $0.984 | $4.38 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Iraq by October 31?No | buy | 4.46 | $0.989 | $4.41 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Mariann Budde out as DC Bishop before March?No | buy | 1.8 | $0.986 | $1.77 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by January 31?No | buy | 3.94 | $0.908 | $3.58 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?No | buy | 7.67 | $0.939 | $7.2 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 Russian nuke in space in 2024?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.996 | $1.14 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 0.91 | $0.974 | $0.89 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Will the November 2024 temperature increase be greater than 1.39°C?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.965 | $1.53 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.990 | $1.35 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Republican | buy | 15.76 | $0.999 | $15.74 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Republican | buy | 1.4 | $0.999 | $1.4 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Harris win Virginia by 6+ points?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.968 | $1.41 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Republicans have 56 or more seats in Senate after election?Yes | buy | 18.55K | $0.001 | $18.55 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will Sevilla FC win La Liga?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.997 | $1.1 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will another movie gross most in 2024?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.940 | $1.86 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.996 | $1.51 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Leicester City wins the Premier League?No | buy | 2.34 | $0.997 | $2.33 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 2 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?Yes | buy | 25.35K | $0.001 | $25.35 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Texas Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 17.31K | $0.001 | $17.31 | Nov 4, 2024 |