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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 830.83 | $0.699 | $798.01 | +$217.43 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | 13d ago |
|
| No |
| 250 |
| $0.770 |
| $245.63 |
| +$53.13 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 299.99 | $0.684 | $223.49 | +$18.12 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? | Yes | 200 | $0.540 | $99 | -$9 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 210 | $0.500 | $97.65 | -$7.35 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.740 | $87.5 | +$13.5 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 100 | $0.700 | $68.5 | -$1.5 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 150 | $0.350 | $62.25 | +$9.75 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 409.99 | $0.683 | $59.45 | -$220.54 |
 Will Counter-Strike 2 Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award? | Yes | 200 | $0.280 | $55 | -$1 |
 Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | No | 29.77 | $0.887 | $29.45 | +$3.03 |
 Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 30 | $0.872 | $27.47 | +$1.31 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 186.29 | $0.765 | $27.01 | -$115.43 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-18 House seat? | No | 24.99 | $0.914 | $23.36 | +$0.52 |
 Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | No | 22.07 | $0.619 | $21.08 | +$7.41 |
| Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | No | 20 | $0.942 | $19.77 | +$0.93 |
 Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | Yes | 463.44 | $0.756 | $18.31 | -$332.2 |
 Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | 89.62 | $0.299 | $17.75 | -$9.07 |
 KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Lotte Giants | Lotte Giants | 30 | $0.481 | $14.3 | -$0.14 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 210 | $0.670 | $13.65 | -$127.05 |
 Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 13.18 | $0.933 | $12.34 | +$0.05 |
 Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? | Yes | 300 | $0.140 | $9.3 | -$32.7 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.27K | $0.088 | $8.9 | -$102.85 |
 Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 30 | $0.532 | $6.62 | -$9.35 |
 Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 8.61 | $0.406 | $5.63 | +$2.13 |
| buy |
| 20.92 |
| $0.120 |
| $2.51 |
| 13d ago |
 Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.960 | $19.2 | 21d ago |
 Will Top Esports Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3?No | buy | 20 | $0.978 | $19.56 | 22d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 132.12 | $0.670 | $88.52 | 23d ago |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 50.57 | $0.001 | $0.05 | 23d ago |
| Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | 24d ago |
| Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | 24d ago |
| Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | 24d ago |
| Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3?Yes | buy | 100.5 | $0.900 | $90.45 | 28d ago |
 Christopher Luxon out by September 30?No | sell | 25 | $0.930 | $23.25 | 28d ago |
| Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.860 | $86 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 149.83 | $0.004 | $0.6 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.816 | $16.32 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupNongshim Red Force | buy | 101.93 | $0.620 | $63.2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?No | buy | 308 | $0.350 | $107.65 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?Yes | sell | 13.87 | $0.010 | $0.14 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?No | sell | 200 | $0.380 | $76 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 50.57 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 50.57 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 401.44 | $0.910 | $365.31 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 125.6 | $0.001 | $0.13 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 238.41 | $0.002 | $0.48 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 138.41 | $0.002 | $0.28 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 45.17 | $0.002 | $0.09 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.42K | $0.001 | $1.42 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.14K | $0.002 | $2.28 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Dplus Kia win the EWC League of Legends TournamentYes | buy | 314.46 | $0.080 | $25.16 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 127.42 | $0.002 | $0.25 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.703 | $140.6 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 417.56 | $0.002 | $0.84 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 205.54 | $0.080 | $16.44 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 206.13 | $0.008 | $1.65 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 206.1 | $0.013 | $2.68 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 206.03 | $0.023 | $4.74 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 206 | $0.028 | $5.77 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 205.91 | $0.043 | $8.85 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 204.98 | $0.190 | $38.95 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.18 | $0.600 | $4.31 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerLYON | sell | 527.23 | $0.160 | $84.36 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsHanwha Life Esports | sell | 510 | $0.860 | $438.6 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 69.85 | $0.001 | $0.07 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.001 | $0.13 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 79.3 | $0.002 | $0.16 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 124.99 | $0.001 | $0.12 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 152.49 | $0.004 | $0.61 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?No | buy | 50.91 | $0.400 | $20.36 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?No | buy | 50.39 | $0.740 | $37.29 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?No | buy | 50.22 | $0.850 | $42.69 | Jun 28, 2026 |