Analytics
Yes is at 24.6%, down 7.5 points from 32% when the market opened on 27 Nov 2025.
Across the 307 daily closes on record from 27 Nov 2025 to 24 Oct 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 97% on 16 Jan 2026 and the lowest 24.6% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 31.9%; a month before, 37.2%. Its largest one-day move was 59 points up, to 90.5% on 28 Nov 2025.
$420.68 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $28.81K since listing. The order book holds $209.57, with a 16.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Esports2026 with 4.1K shares; the largest No position is Rapid Maven 2EF4 with 2.1K. Ten wallets hold 79.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 10:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 307 points, 27 Nov 2025 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Nov 2025 | 32.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 24.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Esports2026 | Yes | 4.11K |
| juicelikeoj | Yes | 3.87K |
| Rapid Maven 2EF4 | No | 2.08K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Theo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-theo-launch-a-token-by
| alanhutton |
| No |
| 2K |
| yooo23782378 | Yes | 1.52K |
| seiyah16 | No | 1.27K |
| Decayer | No | 1.14K |
| imjustalarp | Yes | 899.97 |
| daweishashax | No | 674.59 |
| zzaqq2 | No | 419.36 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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