Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 1.97 | $0.760 | $1.5 | Mar 5, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.540 |
| $2.7 |
| Mar 5, 2025 |
 Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Will Ken Martin be the next DNC chair?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $100,000 on November 29?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Trump nominates Tulsi Gabbard to Cabinet?Yes | sell | 52.33 | $0.520 | $27.21 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | sell | 36.16 | $0.140 | $5.06 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Trump nominates Tulsi Gabbard to Cabinet?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Nov 10, 2024 |
| Trump nominates Tulsi Gabbard to Cabinet?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?Yes | buy | 38.71 | $0.620 | $24 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 50.71 | $0.099 | $5 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Garbrandt vs. JohnsGarbrandt | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Garbrandt vs. JohnsGarbrandt | buy | 7.84 | $0.510 | $4 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2024?No | sell | 9.41 | $0.850 | $8 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?Yes | sell | 130.2 | $0.640 | $83.33 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Kamala publicly concedes by noon Wednesday?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?No | sell | 10 | $0.031 | $0.31 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Michigan be the tipping point state?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.020 | $0.1 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Arizona be the tipping point state?Yes | sell | 44.44 | $0.003 | $0.13 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 1.13 | $0.880 | $0.99 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Michigan be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Arizona be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.045 | $2 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will there be another tipping point state?Yes | buy | 56.37 | $0.035 | $2 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will there be another tipping point state?Yes | buy | 562.66 | $0.004 | $2 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.182 | $1 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Taylor Swift attend Kamala's Pennsylvania rally?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.24 | $0.410 | $0.1 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 166.86 | $0.604 | $100.78 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will JD Vance say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Joe Rogan podcast?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Virginia rally on Nov 2?Yes | buy | 43.57 | $0.069 | $3 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Virginia rally on Nov 2?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will JD Vance say "mamaw" during the Joe Rogan podcast?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will JD Vance say "McDonald's" during the Joe Rogan podcast?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will JD Vance say "China" 5 or more times during the Joe Rogan podcast?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Border" 20 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?Yes | sell | 44.54 | $0.920 | $40.98 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Border" 20 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?Yes | buy | 8.25 | $0.970 | $8 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Border" 20 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?Yes | buy | 30.61 | $0.980 | $30 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" 20 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?Yes | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Oct 30, 2024 |