Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.6%. Yes opened at 51% on 23 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 23 Nov 2024 to 29 Nov 2024, the highest close was 51% on 23 Nov 2024 and the lowest 3.4% on 29 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 13.5% on 26 Nov 2024. $4.52M traded over the market's life.
128 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 30, 7:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 23 Nov 2024 – 29 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Nov 2024 | 51.0% |
| 29 Nov 2024 | 3.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| NazaXpert | Yes | 55K |
| RafatYaghi | Yes | 28.91K |
| pereguine | Yes | 18.66K |
| Baloom | Yes | 9.95K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 29 Nov '24 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 100,000.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-100000-on-november-29
| Kypsi | Yes | 6.71K |
| elisar4 | Yes | 3.23K |
| Good-Curse | Yes | 2.94K |
| NovapaX | Yes | 2.5K |
| kolio | Yes | 2.07K |
| Ace8 | Yes | 2.03K |
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