Gain/loss breakdown unavailable for the returned position data.
wavesinthesky is down $1.64K on Polymarket.
Not enough settled positions to measure.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 1.47K | $0.071 | $228.02 | +$122.72 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 14:28 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 16:35 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 16:35 UTC
unavailable
No reliable series returned
No dated chart point
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
It has traded 4,396 markets. Its open positions are worth $691.41 across 100 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 1.8K |
| $0.246 |
| $133.56 |
| -$309.81 |
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 1.86K | $0.043 | $66.79 | -$12.51 |
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 109.99 | $0.390 | $47.85 | +$4.95 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 825.21 | $0.223 | $45.39 | -$138.65 |
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | No | 111.61 | $0.276 | $36.27 | +$5.46 |
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 209.99 | $0.162 | $30.45 | -$3.63 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.220 | $9.75 | -$12.25 |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 135.71 | $0.134 | $9.23 | -$8.95 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October? | Yes | 129 | $0.219 | $7.74 | -$20.5 |
Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 1.36K | $0.014 | $7.5 | -$12.13 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? | Yes | 80 | $0.088 | $4.4 | -$2.66 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December? | Yes | 234.19 | $0.053 | $4.22 | -$8.2 |
Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 1.36K | $0.007 | $4.09 | -$5.93 |
Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 1.03K | $0.005 | $3.61 | -$1.61 |
Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 1.23K | $0.004 | $3.08 | -$2.16 |
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in October? | Yes | 115 | $0.180 | $2.99 | -$17.71 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October? | Yes | 240 | $0.068 | $2.76 | -$13.49 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? | Yes | 175 | $0.040 | $2.71 | -$4.36 |
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.033 | $2.7 | -$3.9 |
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | Yes | 45.47 | $0.102 | $2.64 | -$2.01 |
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.160 | $2.25 | -$2.55 |
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 80 | $0.041 | $2.04 | -$1.25 |
Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 39.24 | $0.086 | $1.92 | -$1.45 |
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 in October? | Yes | 14.99 | $0.090 | $1.65 | +$0.3 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed 2m ago. Watch only — not advice.