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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.77 | $0.950 | $0.75 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 6 | $0.530 | $3.18 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 30 |
| $0.430 |
| $12.9 |
| Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 8 | $0.430 | $3.44 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | sell | 85 | $0.350 | $29.75 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.340 | $23.8 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.087 | $2.78 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 32 | $0.950 | $30.4 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 42 | $0.720 | $30.24 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 72 | $0.017 | $1.22 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 31 | $0.948 | $29.39 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 40 | $0.977 | $39.08 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.837 | $20.09 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.984 | $6.89 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.089 | $0.36 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No | sell | 8 | $0.894 | $7.15 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?No | sell | 8 | $0.987 | $7.9 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No | buy | 8 | $0.886 | $7.09 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?No | buy | 8 | $0.987 | $7.9 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 9 | $0.975 | $8.78 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 6 | $0.981 | $5.89 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 9 | $0.975 | $8.78 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Zhipu AI have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.062 | $1.43 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.824 | $19.78 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 19 | $0.983 | $18.68 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Zhipu AI have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.060 | $1.38 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 4 | $0.986 | $3.94 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.985 | $9.85 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.972 | $9.72 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.972 | $9.72 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 9 | $0.971 | $8.74 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.094 | $7.33 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 28 | $0.964 | $26.99 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.971 | $8.74 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.962 | $5.77 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 34 | $0.958 | $32.57 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in August?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.008 | $0.08 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump be impeached in 2025?No | sell | 34 | $0.958 | $32.57 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025?No | buy | 16 | $0.960 | $15.36 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 260–274 times August 8–August 15?No | sell | 8 | $0.998 | $7.98 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | sell | 22 | $0.960 | $21.12 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 5 | $0.972 | $4.86 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 21 | $0.983 | $20.64 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?No | sell | 24 | $0.945 | $22.68 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 260–274 times August 8–August 15?No | buy | 8 | $0.979 | $7.83 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 138 | $0.028 | $3.86 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 2 | $0.972 | $1.94 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 24 | $0.944 | $22.66 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.028 | $0.14 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?No | buy | 25 | $0.930 | $23.25 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 131 | $0.028 | $3.67 | Aug 9, 2025 |