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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.45 | $0.046 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 41 | $0.920 | $37.72 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 47 |
| $0.947 |
| $44.51 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 51 | $0.860 | $43.86 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 94 | $0.540 | $50.76 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.070 | $1.89 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.070 | $1.89 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | sell | 99 | $0.180 | $17.82 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | buy | 154 | $0.190 | $29.26 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.300 | $1.2 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 10.11 | $0.510 | $5.16 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.270 | $4.05 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 63 | $0.270 | $17.01 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.330 | $25.74 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.270 | $12.69 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 121 | $0.109 | $13.19 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 121 | $0.109 | $13.19 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 52 | $0.968 | $50.34 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 68 | $0.059 | $4.01 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.056 | $3.81 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 52 | $0.920 | $47.84 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 38 | $0.780 | $29.64 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.861 | $32.72 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.939 | $33.8 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 82 | $0.068 | $5.58 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.065 | $5.33 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 63 | $0.640 | $40.32 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.75 | $0.640 | $13.92 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.046 | $0.28 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.052 | $4.26 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.023 | $0.92 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.025 | $2.2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 67 | $0.800 | $53.6 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 68 | $0.039 | $2.65 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 94 | $0.040 | $3.76 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 61 | $0.042 | $2.56 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 61.45 | $0.046 | $2.83 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 16.85 | $0.550 | $9.27 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 89 | $0.013 | $1.16 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.013 | $2.05 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.010 | $0.01 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.063 | $5.17 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 72 | $0.690 | $49.68 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 152 | $0.017 | $2.58 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 7 | $0.640 | $4.48 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 66 | $0.540 | $35.64 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 31 | $0.700 | $21.7 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 84 | $0.258 | $21.67 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.268 | $22.51 | May 31, 2026 |