Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 201 | $0.261 | $25.63 | -$26.83 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.030 | $6 | 2d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 100 |
| $0.650 |
| $14.5 |
| -$50.5 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.650 |
| $65 |
| Mar 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.680 | $8.19 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MarchSomething | buy | 50 | $0.770 | $38.5 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.850 | $170 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump say "Iran" on Truth Social this week?Yes | sell | 9.44 | $0.890 | $8.4 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.760 | $76 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Chris Coons vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?No | sell | 29.77 | $0.239 | $7.11 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?Yes | sell | 97.18 | $0.210 | $20.41 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?Yes | sell | 43.21 | $0.520 | $22.47 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 208.39 | $0.760 | $158.38 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 21.23 | $0.350 | $7.43 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.510 | $51 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 2 over 20% on Friday?Yes | sell | 49.99 | $0.595 | $29.73 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 The Bondi Parlay (Feb 27)Yes | sell | 50 | $0.239 | $11.96 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.187 | $18.74 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Prince Andrew released by February 19?No | sell | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 19?Yes | sell | 95 | $0.030 | $2.86 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 19?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.045 | $0.22 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 2 over 20% on Friday?Yes | buy | 6.95 | $0.700 | $4.87 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.063 | $0.32 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.025 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 111 | $0.351 | $38.96 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.481 | $24.05 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?Yes | sell | 21.73 | $0.015 | $0.33 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.99 | $0.200 | $3.8 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?No | buy | 50 | $0.660 | $33 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 48.86 | $0.220 | $10.75 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.54 | $0.210 | $7.46 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| The Bondi Parlay (Feb 27)Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.498 | $24.9 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?Yes | sell | 175 | $0.930 | $162.77 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 14?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 19?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 18?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 18?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.500 | $4 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 17?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.500 | $4 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETDown | buy | 3.63 | $0.270 | $0.98 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?No | sell | 30.51 | $0.983 | $29.99 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?No | sell | 294.84 | $0.991 | $292.19 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?Yes | sell | 190 | $0.290 | $55.11 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.770 | $16.74 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.800 | $160 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.980 | $49 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 3K | $0.002 | $6 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.700 | $63 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?No | buy | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | Feb 7, 2026 |