Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 53% on 14 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 14 Feb 2026 to 20 Feb 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53% on 14 Feb 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 20 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 44% on 15 Feb 2026. $14.53K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 21, 8:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 14 Feb 2026 – 20 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | 53.0% |
| 20 Feb 2026 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 386 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 359 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 350 |
| Cobalt Kestrel 6767 | Yes | 223.57 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the White House Press Office calls a full lid by 6:30 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-white-house-call-a-full-lid-before-630pm-february-16-21
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 223 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 157 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 119 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 100 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 83 |
| t189 | Yes | 50 |
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