Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 74.5% on 10 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 74.5% on 10 Feb 2026 and the low 1.7% on 1 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 43.5% on 15 Feb 2026. $244.98K traded over the market's life.
97 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 4:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 20 points · 10 Feb 2026 – 1 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Feb 2026 | 74.5% |
| 1 Mar 2026 | 1.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vitrium | Yes | 4.68K |
| Choppedcheese | Yes | 1.01K |
| Adrink | Yes | 999.99 |
| qwerty1230 | Yes | 755.57 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MrBeast's puzzle challenge is solved by February 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only statements which explicitly indicate a person or entity has solved the puzzle and won the million-dollar prize will qualify. Any statements indicating the puzzle has been solved but the solver is not eligible for receipt of the prize will not qualify this market for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve exclusively based on statements from MrBeast or his legal or social media representatives. This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying statements from MrBeast.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mrbeasts-million-dollar-puzzle-be-solved-by-february-15
| BerkshireHahaway | Yes | 677.63 |
| BeN | Yes | 400 |
| Critical-Zone | Yes | 370.37 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 200 |
| 5atka | Yes | 199.97 |
| Practical-Renaissance | Yes | 123.5 |
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